Bratt's Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic New England town, must decide how to subdivide (remodel) the large old home that will become inn. There are three alternatives: Option A would modernize all baths an combine rooms, leaving the inn with four suites, each suitable for two to four adults. Option B would modernize only the second floor; the results would be six suites, four for two to four adults, and two for two adults only. Option C (the status quo option) leaves all walls intact. In this case, there are eight rooms available, but only two are suitable for four adults, and four rooms will not have private baths. Below are the details of profit and demand patterns that will accompany each option. Which option has the highest expected value?

Practical Management Science
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ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Bratt's Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic New England town, must
decide how to subdivide (remodel) the large old home that will become an
inn. There are three alternatives: Option A would modernize all baths and
combine rooms, leaving the inn with four suites, each suitable for two to
four adults. Option B would modernize only the second floor; the results
would be six suites, four for two to four adults, and two for two adults
only. Option C (the status quo option) leaves all walls intact. In this case,
there are eight rooms available, but only two are suitable for four adults,
and four rooms will not have private baths. Below are the details of profit
and demand patterns that will accompany each option. Which option has
the highest expected value?
Transcribed Image Text:Bratt's Bed and Breakfast, in a small historic New England town, must decide how to subdivide (remodel) the large old home that will become an inn. There are three alternatives: Option A would modernize all baths and combine rooms, leaving the inn with four suites, each suitable for two to four adults. Option B would modernize only the second floor; the results would be six suites, four for two to four adults, and two for two adults only. Option C (the status quo option) leaves all walls intact. In this case, there are eight rooms available, but only two are suitable for four adults, and four rooms will not have private baths. Below are the details of profit and demand patterns that will accompany each option. Which option has the highest expected value?
A
B
Annual profit under two customer
reservation scenarios
Reservations
at Capacity
C (Status
Quo)
prob.
(Modernize $90,000 .5 $25,000 .5
all)
Average
Reservations
(Modernize $80,000 .4 $70,000 .6
2nd)
$60,000 .3
prob.
$55,000 .7
a. Which option should be chosen? [Select]
b. What is the EMV of that option? [Select]
Transcribed Image Text:A B Annual profit under two customer reservation scenarios Reservations at Capacity C (Status Quo) prob. (Modernize $90,000 .5 $25,000 .5 all) Average Reservations (Modernize $80,000 .4 $70,000 .6 2nd) $60,000 .3 prob. $55,000 .7 a. Which option should be chosen? [Select] b. What is the EMV of that option? [Select]
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