Based on the information in the following table, use the Naïve Approach to forecast the demand for periods 2-12 PERIOD MONTH Demand Forecast 1 Jan 228 Feb 197 3 Mar 202 4. Apr 182 May 157 6. Jun 148 Jul 195 8. Aug 63 9. Sep 194 10 Oct 278 11 Nov 185 12 Dec 179
Continuous Probability Distributions
Probability distributions are of two types, which are continuous probability distributions and discrete probability distributions. A continuous probability distribution contains an infinite number of values. For example, if time is infinite: you could count from 0 to a trillion seconds, billion seconds, so on indefinitely. A discrete probability distribution consists of only a countable set of possible values.
Normal Distribution
Suppose we had to design a bathroom weighing scale, how would we decide what should be the range of the weighing machine? Would we take the highest recorded human weight in history and use that as the upper limit for our weighing scale? This may not be a great idea as the sensitivity of the scale would get reduced if the range is too large. At the same time, if we keep the upper limit too low, it may not be usable for a large percentage of the population!
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