(b) At each preseason sales meeting, the vice president of sales provides a personal opinion regarding potential demand for this product. Because of the vice president's enthusiasm and optimistic nature, the predictions of market conditions have always been either "excellent" (E) or "very good" (V). Probabilities are as follows. What is the optimal decision strategy? P(E) = 0.6 P(V)=0.4 P(S₁IE) = 0.31 P(S₂IE) = 0.38 P(S3E) = 0.31 P(s₁IV) = 0.2 P(S₂IV) = 0.22 P(S3IV) = 0.58 If the vice president's prediction is excellent, two lots. If the prediction is very good, one lot. If the vice president's prediction is excellent, three lots. If the prediction is very good, two lots. Do not use the vice president's prediction and order two lots. Do not use the vice president's prediction and order three lots. If the vice president's prediction is excellent, one lot. If the prediction is very good, two lots.

Chemistry
10th Edition
ISBN:9781305957404
Author:Steven S. Zumdahl, Susan A. Zumdahl, Donald J. DeCoste
Publisher:Steven S. Zumdahl, Susan A. Zumdahl, Donald J. DeCoste
Chapter1: Chemical Foundations
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Problem 1RQ: Define and explain the differences between the following terms. a. law and theory b. theory and...
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(b) At each preseason sales meeting, the vice president of sales provides a personal opinion regarding potential demand for this
product. Because of the vice president's enthusiasm and optimistic nature, the predictions of market conditions have always
been either "excellent" (E) or "very good" (V). Probabilities are as follows. What is the optimal decision strategy?
P(E) = 0.6
P(V)=0.4
P(S₁IE) = 0.31
P(S₂IE) = 0.38
P(S3E) = 0.31
P(s₁IV) = 0.2
P(S₂IV) = 0.22
P(S3IV) = 0.58
If the vice president's prediction is excellent, two lots. If the prediction is very good, one lot.
If the vice president's prediction is excellent, three lots. If the prediction is very good, two lots.
Do not use the vice president's prediction and order two lots.
Do not use the vice president's prediction and order three lots.
If the vice president's prediction is excellent, one lot. If the prediction is very good, two lots.
Transcribed Image Text:(b) At each preseason sales meeting, the vice president of sales provides a personal opinion regarding potential demand for this product. Because of the vice president's enthusiasm and optimistic nature, the predictions of market conditions have always been either "excellent" (E) or "very good" (V). Probabilities are as follows. What is the optimal decision strategy? P(E) = 0.6 P(V)=0.4 P(S₁IE) = 0.31 P(S₂IE) = 0.38 P(S3E) = 0.31 P(s₁IV) = 0.2 P(S₂IV) = 0.22 P(S3IV) = 0.58 If the vice president's prediction is excellent, two lots. If the prediction is very good, one lot. If the vice president's prediction is excellent, three lots. If the prediction is very good, two lots. Do not use the vice president's prediction and order two lots. Do not use the vice president's prediction and order three lots. If the vice president's prediction is excellent, one lot. If the prediction is very good, two lots.
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