Assume that the probability of rain tomorrow is 0.5 if it is raining today, and assume that the probability of its being clear (no rain) tomorrow is 0.9 if it ismclear today. Also assume that these probabilities do not change if information ismalso provided about the weather before today. (i) Explain why the stated assumptions imply that the Markovian property holds for the evolution of the weather. (ii) Formulate the evolution of the weather as a Markov chain by defining its states and giving its (one-step) transition matrix
Assume that the probability of rain tomorrow is 0.5 if it is raining today, and assume that the probability of its being clear (no rain) tomorrow is 0.9 if it ismclear today. Also assume that these probabilities do not change if information ismalso provided about the weather before today. (i) Explain why the stated assumptions imply that the Markovian property holds for the evolution of the weather. (ii) Formulate the evolution of the weather as a Markov chain by defining its states and giving its (one-step) transition matrix
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Assume that the probability of rain tomorrow is 0.5 if it is raining today, and assume that the probability of its being clear (no rain) tomorrow is 0.9 if it ismclear today. Also assume that these probabilities do not change if information ismalso provided about the weather before today.
(i) Explain why the stated assumptions imply that the Markovian property holds for the evolution of the weather.
(ii) Formulate the evolution of the weather as a Markov chain by defining its states and giving its (one-step) transition matrix
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