An urn contains 90 balls. It is known that 30 are red and that each of the other 60 are either yellow or black. One ball will be drawn at random from the urn. Consider the following options: [Option 1] We receive $4,500 if a red ball is drawn. [Option 2] We receive $4,500 if a yellow ball is drawn. [Option 3] We receive $4,500 if a yellow or a black ball is drawn. [Option 4] We receive $4,500 if a red or a black ball is drawn. A) Explain why most people prefer Option 1 over Option 2. (This has a bit of opinion in it don't worry about it too much.) B) Tf Jwe prefer Ontion 1 to Ontion 2 show why we should nrefer

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An urn contains 90 balls. It is known that 30 are red and that
each of the other 60 are either yellow or black. One ball will
be drawn at random from the urn. Consider the following options:
[Option 1] We receive $4,500 if a red ball is drawn.
[Option 2] We receive $4,500 if a yellow bali is drawn.
[Option 3] We receive $4,500 if a yellow or a black ball is drawn.
[Option 4] We receive $4,500 if a red or a black ball is drawn.
A) Explain why most people prefer Option 1 over Option 2.
(This has a bit of opinion in it don't worry about it too much.)
B) If we prefer Option 1 to Option 2, show why we should prefer
Option 4 over option 3 using utility theory.
Transcribed Image Text:An urn contains 90 balls. It is known that 30 are red and that each of the other 60 are either yellow or black. One ball will be drawn at random from the urn. Consider the following options: [Option 1] We receive $4,500 if a red ball is drawn. [Option 2] We receive $4,500 if a yellow bali is drawn. [Option 3] We receive $4,500 if a yellow or a black ball is drawn. [Option 4] We receive $4,500 if a red or a black ball is drawn. A) Explain why most people prefer Option 1 over Option 2. (This has a bit of opinion in it don't worry about it too much.) B) If we prefer Option 1 to Option 2, show why we should prefer Option 4 over option 3 using utility theory.
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