An auditing model correctly predicted bankruptcy of 90% of firms that in fact did fail and correctly predicted non-bankruptcy of 80% of firms that did not fail. Besides, the historical data shows that 40% of firms for which the model made its prediction did fail in the last year. a/ Find the probability that the model will predict bankruptcy for a firm. b/ Find the probability that a firm will go bankrupt, given that the model has predicted it will do so.
An auditing model correctly predicted bankruptcy of 90% of firms that in fact did fail and correctly predicted non-bankruptcy of 80% of firms that did not fail. Besides, the historical data shows that 40% of firms for which the model made its prediction did fail in the last year. a/ Find the probability that the model will predict bankruptcy for a firm. b/ Find the probability that a firm will go bankrupt, given that the model has predicted it will do so.
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
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An auditing model correctly predicted bankruptcy of 90% of firms
that in fact did fail and correctly predicted non-bankruptcy of 80% of firms that did not
fail. Besides, the historical data shows that 40% of firms for which the model made its
prediction did fail in the last year.
a/ Find the probability that the model will predict bankruptcy for a firm.
b/ Find the probability that a firm will go bankrupt, given that the model has predicted it
will do so.
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