a. According to Fisher Equation “a rise in inflation also rises the nominal interest rate by the same amount”. Construct a regression model by determining dependent and independent variables according to this theory

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Interest rate

Inflation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

i

π

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1999

4.7

4.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2000

4.6

5.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

6.3

5.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2002

4.8

4.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2003

2.9

2.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

a. According to Fisher Equation “a rise in inflation also rises the nominal interest rate by the same amount”. Construct a regression model by determining dependent and independent variables according to this theory.

 

TABLE D.2
Example
Pr (t > 2.086) = 0.025
Pr (t > 1.725) = 0.05
Pr (It| > 1.725) = 0.10
Percentage Points of
the t Distribution
for df = 20
0.05
%3D
Source: From E. S. Pearson and
H. O. Hartley, eds., Blometrika
Tables for Stattstictans, vol. 1,
3d ed., table 12, Cambridge
University Press, New York,
1966. Reproduced by
1.725
permission of the editors and
0.25
0.10
0.20
Pr
0.05
0.025
0.01
0.005
0.001
trustees of Blometrika.
df
0.50
0.10
0.05
0.02
0.010
0.002
1
1.000
3.078
6.314
12.706
31.821
63.657
318.31
0.816
1.886
1.638
2.920
4.303
6.965
4.541
9.925
22.327
3
0.765
2.353
2.132
3.182
5.841
10.214
0.741
1.533
2.776
3.747
4.604
7.173
5
0.727
1.476
2.015
2.571
3.365
4.032
5.893
0.718
1.440
1.943
2.447
3.143
3.707
5.208
0.711
1.415
1.895
2.365
2.998
3.499
4.785
1.397
1.383
8
0.706
1.860
2.306
2.896
3.355
4.501
0.703
1.833
2.262
2.821
3.250
4.297
10
0.700
1.372
1.812
2.228
2.764
3.169
4.144
11
0.697
1.363
1.796
2.201
2.718
3.106
4.025
1.356
1.350
12
0.695
1.782
2.179
2.681
3.055
3.930
13
0.694
1.771
2.160
2.650
3.012
3.852
14
0.692
1.345
1.761
2.145
2.624
2.977
3.787
15
0.691
1.341
1.753
2.131
2.602
2.947
3.733
16
0.690
1.337
1.746
2.120
2.583
2.921
3.686
17
18
0.689
1.333
1.740
2.110
2.567
2.898
3.646
0.688
1.330
1.734
2.101
2.552
2.878
3.610
19
0.688
1.328
1.729
2.093
2.539
2.861
3.579
20
0.687
2.845
1.325
1.323
1.321
1.725
2.086
2.528
3.552
21
0.686
1.721
2.080
2.518
2.831
3.527
22
0.686
1.717
2.074
2.508
2.819
3.505
23
0.685
1.319
1.714
2.069
2.500
2.807
3.485
24
0.685
1.318
1.711
2.064
2.492
2.797
3.467
25
0.684
1.316
1.708
2.060
2.485
2.787
2.779
3.450
26
0.684
1.315
1.706
2.056
2.479
3.435
27
0.684
1.314
1.703
2.052
2.473
2.771
3.421
28
0.683
1.313
1.311
1.701
2.048
2.467
2.763
3.408
29
0.683
1.699
2.045
2.462
2.756
3.396
30
0.683
1.310
1.697
2.042
2.457
2.750
3.385
40
60
0.681
1.303
1.684
2.021
2.423
2.704
3.307
0.679
1.296
1.671
2.000
2.390
2.660
3.232
2.358
2.326
120
0.677
1.289
1.658
1.980
2.617
3.160
0.674
1.282
1.645
1.960
2.576
3.090
00
Note: The smaller probability shown at the head of each column is the area in one tail;
both tails.
larger probability
he area in
Transcribed Image Text:TABLE D.2 Example Pr (t > 2.086) = 0.025 Pr (t > 1.725) = 0.05 Pr (It| > 1.725) = 0.10 Percentage Points of the t Distribution for df = 20 0.05 %3D Source: From E. S. Pearson and H. O. Hartley, eds., Blometrika Tables for Stattstictans, vol. 1, 3d ed., table 12, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1966. Reproduced by 1.725 permission of the editors and 0.25 0.10 0.20 Pr 0.05 0.025 0.01 0.005 0.001 trustees of Blometrika. df 0.50 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.010 0.002 1 1.000 3.078 6.314 12.706 31.821 63.657 318.31 0.816 1.886 1.638 2.920 4.303 6.965 4.541 9.925 22.327 3 0.765 2.353 2.132 3.182 5.841 10.214 0.741 1.533 2.776 3.747 4.604 7.173 5 0.727 1.476 2.015 2.571 3.365 4.032 5.893 0.718 1.440 1.943 2.447 3.143 3.707 5.208 0.711 1.415 1.895 2.365 2.998 3.499 4.785 1.397 1.383 8 0.706 1.860 2.306 2.896 3.355 4.501 0.703 1.833 2.262 2.821 3.250 4.297 10 0.700 1.372 1.812 2.228 2.764 3.169 4.144 11 0.697 1.363 1.796 2.201 2.718 3.106 4.025 1.356 1.350 12 0.695 1.782 2.179 2.681 3.055 3.930 13 0.694 1.771 2.160 2.650 3.012 3.852 14 0.692 1.345 1.761 2.145 2.624 2.977 3.787 15 0.691 1.341 1.753 2.131 2.602 2.947 3.733 16 0.690 1.337 1.746 2.120 2.583 2.921 3.686 17 18 0.689 1.333 1.740 2.110 2.567 2.898 3.646 0.688 1.330 1.734 2.101 2.552 2.878 3.610 19 0.688 1.328 1.729 2.093 2.539 2.861 3.579 20 0.687 2.845 1.325 1.323 1.321 1.725 2.086 2.528 3.552 21 0.686 1.721 2.080 2.518 2.831 3.527 22 0.686 1.717 2.074 2.508 2.819 3.505 23 0.685 1.319 1.714 2.069 2.500 2.807 3.485 24 0.685 1.318 1.711 2.064 2.492 2.797 3.467 25 0.684 1.316 1.708 2.060 2.485 2.787 2.779 3.450 26 0.684 1.315 1.706 2.056 2.479 3.435 27 0.684 1.314 1.703 2.052 2.473 2.771 3.421 28 0.683 1.313 1.311 1.701 2.048 2.467 2.763 3.408 29 0.683 1.699 2.045 2.462 2.756 3.396 30 0.683 1.310 1.697 2.042 2.457 2.750 3.385 40 60 0.681 1.303 1.684 2.021 2.423 2.704 3.307 0.679 1.296 1.671 2.000 2.390 2.660 3.232 2.358 2.326 120 0.677 1.289 1.658 1.980 2.617 3.160 0.674 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.576 3.090 00 Note: The smaller probability shown at the head of each column is the area in one tail; both tails. larger probability he area in
TABLE D.3 Upper Percentage Points of the F Distribution
Example
Pr(F > 1.59) = 0.25
2.42) = 0.10
Pr (F > 3.14) = 0.05
5% area
Pr (F
for df N = 10
1% area
and N2 = 9
Pr (F
> 5.26) = 0.01
F
3.14 5.26
df for
denom-
df for numerator N,
Inator
N2
Pr
2
4
6 7
8.
9.
10
11
12
.25
5.83
7.50
8.20
8.58
8.82
8.98
9.10
9.19
9.26
9.32
9.36
9.41
1
.10
39.9
49.5
53.6
55.8
57.2
58.2
58.9
59.4
59.9
60.2
60.5
60.7
.05 161
200
216
225
230
234
237
239
241
242
243
244
.25
2.57
3.00
3.15
3.23
3.28
3.31
3.34
3.35
3.39
3.37
9.38
3.38
3.39
8.53
18.5
2
.10
9.00
9.16
9.24
9.29
9.33
9.35
9.37
9.39
9.40
9.41
.05
01
19.0
19.2
19.2
19.3
19.3
19.4
19.4
19.4
19.4
19.4
19.4
98.5
99.0
99.2
99.2
99.3
99.3
99.4
99.4
99.4
99.4
99.4
99.4
.25
2.02
2.28
2.36
2.39
2.41
2.42
2.43
2.44
2.44
2.44
2.45
2.45
5.54
5.46
9.55
5.25
8.85
27.5
5.24
5.23
8.79
27.2
.10
5.39
5.34
5.31
5.28
5.27
5.22
5.22
9.28
9.01
28.2
.05
10.1
9.12
8.94
8.89
8.81
8.76
8.74
.01
34.1
30.8
29.5
28.7
27.9
27.7
27.3
27.1
27.1
25
1.81
2.00
2.05
2.06
4.11
2.07
2.08
2.08
2.08
2.08
2.08
2.08
2.08
.10
4.54
4.32
4.19
4.05
4.01
3.98
3.95
3.94
3.92
3.91
3.90
.05
7.71
6.94
6.59
6.39
6.26
6.16
5.96
5.94
6.09
15.0
6.04
6.00
5.91
.01
21.2
18.0
16.7
16.0
15.5
15.2
14.8
14.7
14.5
14.4
14.4
.25
1.69
1.85
1.88
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
.10
4.06
3.78
3.62
3.52
3.45
3.40
3.37
3.34
3.32
3.30
3.28
3.27
.05
6.61
5.79
5.41
5.19
5.05
4.95
4.88
4.82
4.77
4.74
4.71
4.68
.01
16.3
13.3
12.1
11.4
11.0
10.7
10.5
10.3
10.2
10.1
9.96
9.89
.25
1.62
1.76
1.78
1.79
1.79
1.78
1.78
1.78
1.77
1.77
1.77
1.77
3.05
3.01
2.96
4.10
.10
3.78
3.46
3.29
3.18
3.11
2.98
2.94
2.92
2.90
.05
5.99
5.14
4.76
4.53
4.39
4.28
4.21
4.15
4.06
4.03
4.00
01
13.7
10.9
9.78
9.15
8.75
8.47
8.26
8.10
7.98
7.87
7.79
7.72
.25
1.57
1.70
1.72
1.72
1.71
1.71
1.70
1.70
1.69
1.69
1.69
1.68
7
10
3.59
3.26
3.07
2.96
2.88
2.83
2.78
2.75
2.72
2.70
2.68
2.67
4.35
4.12
3.79
.05
.01
5.59
4.74
3.97
3.87
7.19
3.73
3.68
3.64
3.60
3.57
12.2
9.55
8.45
7.85
7.46
6.99
6.84
6.72
6.62
6.54
6.47
25
1.54
1.66
1.67
1.66
1.66
1.65
1.64
1.64
1.63
1.63
1.63
1.62
2.62
3.50
8.
.10
3.46
3.11
2.92
2.81
2.73
2.67
2.59
2.56
2.54
2.52
2.50
.05
5.32
4.46
4.07
3.84
3.69
3.58
3.44
3.39
3.35
3.31
3.28
.01
11.3
8.65
7.59
7.01
6.63
6.37
6.18
6.03
5.91
5.81
5.73
5.67
1.63
1.63
2.69
1.61
2.55
1.60
2.51
25
1.51
1.62
1.62
1.60
1.59
1.59
1.58
1.58
2.42
3.14
.10
3.36
3.01
2.81
2.61
2.47
2.44
2.40
2.38
05
5.12
4.26
3.86
3.63
3.48
3.37
3.29
3.23
3.18
3.10
3.07
.01
10.6
8.02
6.99
6.42
6.06
5.80
5.61
5.47
5.35
5.26
5.18
5.11
Source: From E. S. Pearson and H. O. Hartley, eds., Biometrika Tables for Statisticians, vol. 1, 3d ed., table 18, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1966.
Reproduced by permission of the editors and trustees of Biometrika.
3.
6.
Transcribed Image Text:TABLE D.3 Upper Percentage Points of the F Distribution Example Pr(F > 1.59) = 0.25 2.42) = 0.10 Pr (F > 3.14) = 0.05 5% area Pr (F for df N = 10 1% area and N2 = 9 Pr (F > 5.26) = 0.01 F 3.14 5.26 df for denom- df for numerator N, Inator N2 Pr 2 4 6 7 8. 9. 10 11 12 .25 5.83 7.50 8.20 8.58 8.82 8.98 9.10 9.19 9.26 9.32 9.36 9.41 1 .10 39.9 49.5 53.6 55.8 57.2 58.2 58.9 59.4 59.9 60.2 60.5 60.7 .05 161 200 216 225 230 234 237 239 241 242 243 244 .25 2.57 3.00 3.15 3.23 3.28 3.31 3.34 3.35 3.39 3.37 9.38 3.38 3.39 8.53 18.5 2 .10 9.00 9.16 9.24 9.29 9.33 9.35 9.37 9.39 9.40 9.41 .05 01 19.0 19.2 19.2 19.3 19.3 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4 98.5 99.0 99.2 99.2 99.3 99.3 99.4 99.4 99.4 99.4 99.4 99.4 .25 2.02 2.28 2.36 2.39 2.41 2.42 2.43 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.45 2.45 5.54 5.46 9.55 5.25 8.85 27.5 5.24 5.23 8.79 27.2 .10 5.39 5.34 5.31 5.28 5.27 5.22 5.22 9.28 9.01 28.2 .05 10.1 9.12 8.94 8.89 8.81 8.76 8.74 .01 34.1 30.8 29.5 28.7 27.9 27.7 27.3 27.1 27.1 25 1.81 2.00 2.05 2.06 4.11 2.07 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 .10 4.54 4.32 4.19 4.05 4.01 3.98 3.95 3.94 3.92 3.91 3.90 .05 7.71 6.94 6.59 6.39 6.26 6.16 5.96 5.94 6.09 15.0 6.04 6.00 5.91 .01 21.2 18.0 16.7 16.0 15.5 15.2 14.8 14.7 14.5 14.4 14.4 .25 1.69 1.85 1.88 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 .10 4.06 3.78 3.62 3.52 3.45 3.40 3.37 3.34 3.32 3.30 3.28 3.27 .05 6.61 5.79 5.41 5.19 5.05 4.95 4.88 4.82 4.77 4.74 4.71 4.68 .01 16.3 13.3 12.1 11.4 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.3 10.2 10.1 9.96 9.89 .25 1.62 1.76 1.78 1.79 1.79 1.78 1.78 1.78 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 3.05 3.01 2.96 4.10 .10 3.78 3.46 3.29 3.18 3.11 2.98 2.94 2.92 2.90 .05 5.99 5.14 4.76 4.53 4.39 4.28 4.21 4.15 4.06 4.03 4.00 01 13.7 10.9 9.78 9.15 8.75 8.47 8.26 8.10 7.98 7.87 7.79 7.72 .25 1.57 1.70 1.72 1.72 1.71 1.71 1.70 1.70 1.69 1.69 1.69 1.68 7 10 3.59 3.26 3.07 2.96 2.88 2.83 2.78 2.75 2.72 2.70 2.68 2.67 4.35 4.12 3.79 .05 .01 5.59 4.74 3.97 3.87 7.19 3.73 3.68 3.64 3.60 3.57 12.2 9.55 8.45 7.85 7.46 6.99 6.84 6.72 6.62 6.54 6.47 25 1.54 1.66 1.67 1.66 1.66 1.65 1.64 1.64 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.62 2.62 3.50 8. .10 3.46 3.11 2.92 2.81 2.73 2.67 2.59 2.56 2.54 2.52 2.50 .05 5.32 4.46 4.07 3.84 3.69 3.58 3.44 3.39 3.35 3.31 3.28 .01 11.3 8.65 7.59 7.01 6.63 6.37 6.18 6.03 5.91 5.81 5.73 5.67 1.63 1.63 2.69 1.61 2.55 1.60 2.51 25 1.51 1.62 1.62 1.60 1.59 1.59 1.58 1.58 2.42 3.14 .10 3.36 3.01 2.81 2.61 2.47 2.44 2.40 2.38 05 5.12 4.26 3.86 3.63 3.48 3.37 3.29 3.23 3.18 3.10 3.07 .01 10.6 8.02 6.99 6.42 6.06 5.80 5.61 5.47 5.35 5.26 5.18 5.11 Source: From E. S. Pearson and H. O. Hartley, eds., Biometrika Tables for Statisticians, vol. 1, 3d ed., table 18, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1966. Reproduced by permission of the editors and trustees of Biometrika. 3. 6.
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