.6 (a) Two sets of n independent trials are performed, independently of each other, and each trial results in either success or failure, the probability of success being p₁ in the first set of trials and P2 in the second set. Show that the probability P of obtaining x₁ successes in the first set and x₂ successes in the second set is given by P = Kpip2¹ (1-P₁)"¯*¹(1 - P2)"¯*², where K depends only on n, x₁ and x₂. If p₁ = p and p₂ = p², find an expression for log P and show that, for given values of n, x₁ and x2, log P has a maximum value when p is such that (x₁+ 2x₂)(n-x₁)p3np² = 0. (b) An insect breeding experiment was conducted in two sections, in each of which 100 insects of a particular species were raised. In the first section a proportion p was expected to have a certain colour variation and in the second section the proportion with this colour variation was expected to be p², but the value of p was not known. In the event there were 22 insects in the first section, and 7 in the second section, which possessed the colour variation. Find the value of p which maximises the probability of this result.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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.6
(a) Two sets of n independent trials are performed, independently of each other, and each trial
results in either success or failure, the probability of success being p₁ in the first set of trials and
P2 in the second set. Show that the probability P of obtaining x₁ successes in the first set and
x₂ successes in the second set is given by
P = Kpip2¹ (1-P₁)"¯*¹(1 - P2)"¯*²,
where K depends only on n, x₁ and x₂. If p₁ = p and p₂ = p², find an expression for log P
and show that, for given values of n, x₁ and x2, log P has a maximum value when p is such
that
(x₁+ 2x₂)(n-x₁)p3np² = 0.
(b) An insect breeding experiment was conducted in two sections, in each of which 100 insects
of a particular species were raised. In the first section a proportion p was expected to have a
certain colour variation and in the second section the proportion with this colour variation was
expected to be p², but the value of p was not known. In the event there were 22 insects in the
first section, and 7 in the second section, which possessed the colour variation. Find the value
of p which maximises the probability of this result.
Transcribed Image Text:.6 (a) Two sets of n independent trials are performed, independently of each other, and each trial results in either success or failure, the probability of success being p₁ in the first set of trials and P2 in the second set. Show that the probability P of obtaining x₁ successes in the first set and x₂ successes in the second set is given by P = Kpip2¹ (1-P₁)"¯*¹(1 - P2)"¯*², where K depends only on n, x₁ and x₂. If p₁ = p and p₂ = p², find an expression for log P and show that, for given values of n, x₁ and x2, log P has a maximum value when p is such that (x₁+ 2x₂)(n-x₁)p3np² = 0. (b) An insect breeding experiment was conducted in two sections, in each of which 100 insects of a particular species were raised. In the first section a proportion p was expected to have a certain colour variation and in the second section the proportion with this colour variation was expected to be p², but the value of p was not known. In the event there were 22 insects in the first section, and 7 in the second section, which possessed the colour variation. Find the value of p which maximises the probability of this result.
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