A screening test for a disease shows a positive result in 94% of all cases when the disease is actually present and in 5% of all cases when it is not. If a result is positive, the test is repeated. Assume that the second test is independent of the first test. If the prevalence of the disease is 1 in 300 and an individual tests positive twice, what is the probability that the individual actually has the disease? Probability is

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