A rural state wants to encourage high school graduates to continue their education and attend college.  The state collected information on a random sample of high school seniors from across the state 7 years ago and is now observing how many years of education they completed.  They believe students decide to achieve more education when they are more capable, have easier access to college education, and the opportunity cost of attending are lower.  To explore the factors that affect the years of education completed they have used multiple regression to estimate the years of completed education as a function of: Unemployment rate - the unemployment rate in the county (3.9 – 16.8) County Hr Wage - average starting hourly manufacturing wage in the county Test - student score on college admission test (0 to 100 scale) Dist to college - Distance to near college (measured in 100’s of miles) Tuition - Tuition charged at nearest state university (measured in $1000s)               The output appears below. Regression Statistics           Multiple R 0.4275           R Square 0.1827           Adjusted R Square 0.1784           Standard Error 1.5259           Observations 943                         ANOVA               df SS MS F Significance F   Regression 5 487.8758 97.5752 41.9053 0.0000   Residual 937 2181.7743 2.3285       Total 942 2669.6501                         Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept 9.4074 0.5182 18.1532 0.0000 8.3904 10.4244 Unemployment rate 0.0213 0.0252 0.8452 0.3982 -0.0281 0.0707 County Hr Wage 0.0334 0.0498 0.6698 0.5032 -0.0644 0.1311 Test 0.0831 0.0062 13.5039 0.0000 0.0710 0.0952 Dist to 4 yr college -0.0390 0.0213 -1.8284 0.0678 -0.0809 0.0029 tuition (in $1000) -0.6266 0.2637 -2.3761 0.0177 -1.1442 -0.1090 How would you interpret the coefficient on Test?

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ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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A rural state wants to encourage high school graduates to continue their education and attend college.  The state collected information on a random sample of high school seniors from across the state 7 years ago and is now observing how many years of education they completed.  They believe students decide to achieve more education when they are more capable, have easier access to college education, and the opportunity cost of attending are lower.  To explore the factors that affect the years of education completed they have used multiple regression to estimate the years of completed education as a function of:

Unemployment rate - the unemployment rate in the county (3.9 – 16.8)

County Hr Wage - average starting hourly manufacturing wage in the county

Test - student score on college admission test (0 to 100 scale)

Dist to college - Distance to near college (measured in 100’s of miles)

Tuition - Tuition charged at nearest state university (measured in $1000s)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The output appears below.

Regression Statistics

 

 

 

 

 

Multiple R

0.4275

 

 

 

 

 

R Square

0.1827

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted R Square

0.1784

 

 

 

 

 

Standard Error

1.5259

 

 

 

 

 

Observations

943

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

 

Regression

5

487.8758

97.5752

41.9053

0.0000

 

Residual

937

2181.7743

2.3285

 

 

 

Total

942

2669.6501

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

9.4074

0.5182

18.1532

0.0000

8.3904

10.4244

Unemployment rate

0.0213

0.0252

0.8452

0.3982

-0.0281

0.0707

County Hr Wage

0.0334

0.0498

0.6698

0.5032

-0.0644

0.1311

Test

0.0831

0.0062

13.5039

0.0000

0.0710

0.0952

Dist to 4 yr college

-0.0390

0.0213

-1.8284

0.0678

-0.0809

0.0029

tuition (in $1000)

-0.6266

0.2637

-2.3761

0.0177

-1.1442

-0.1090

How would you interpret the coefficient on Test?

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