A rifle manufacturer is creating a new sniper rifle and is interested in testing the accuracy of its new automatic sighting mechanism. The gun is fired at various equidistant targets, and the vertical and horizontal distance from the shot to the desired target (the error) is measured each time the gun is fired. Consider the horizontal error (in centimeters) to be a random variable x; assume that x follows a normal distribution with an unknown population mean μ and a unknown standard deviation of σ. The value of x is positive when the shot is to the right of the target and negative when the shot is to the left of the target. The rifle manufacturer would like to conduct a hypothesis test about µ. The rifle manufacturer wants µ = 0, because this implies that, on average, the sighting mechanism is accurate.

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6. Using Excel - Testing a population mean

A rifle manufacturer is creating a new sniper rifle and is interested in testing the accuracy of its new automatic sighting mechanism. The gun is fired at various equidistant targets, and the vertical and horizontal distance from the shot to the desired target (the error) is measured each time the gun is fired. Consider the horizontal error (in centimeters) to be a random variable x; assume that x follows a normal distribution with an unknown population mean μ and a unknown standard deviation of σ. The value of x is positive when the shot is to the right of the target and negative when the shot is to the left of the target.
The rifle manufacturer would like to conduct a hypothesis test about µ. The rifle manufacturer wants µ = 0, because this implies that, on average, the sighting mechanism is accurate.
To answer the questions that follow, download an Excel®® spreadsheet containing 10 observed values of the variable x by clicking on the following words in bold: Download Excel File.
Go through the following steps to conduct a hypothesis test about the population mean.
In the following sample Excel sheet, enter the appropriate formulas for conducting the hypothesis test about µ when σ is unknown.
Note: The function STDEV is used for Excel versions 2007 and earlier. For later versions, STDEV was replaced by STDEV.S. However, STDEV can still be used in later versions of Excel. Similarly, TDIST and NORMSDIST were replaced by T.DIST and NORM.S.DIST.
 
 
A
B
C
D
1 Horizontal Error, x   Hypothesis Test about a Population Mean:  
2 0.0091   σ Unknown Case  
3 -0.0036      
4 0.0288   Sample Size     _______ (eg : COUNTA(A2-A11)
5 0.0193   Sample Mean     _________- (also formula)
6 0.0012   Sample Standard Deviation     ___________(= stdev...)
7 0.0019      
8 0.0052   Hypothesized Value 0
9 -0.0033   Standard Error     _________ (eg =d6/d4)
10 0.0072   Test Statistic t     __________ (eg: d5-d8/d2)
11 0.0101   Degrees of Freedom  = D4-1
12        
13     p-value (Lower Tail)     ______ (eg =1-d14)
14     p-value (Upper Tail) =1-D13
15     p-value (Two Tail)     ________ eg (d4/sqrt(d6)
16        
 
Suppose the rifle manufacturer suspects that the sighting mechanism, on average, is shooting to the right of the target.
Use the values produced by the proper formulas in your Excel sheet to conduct the following hypothesis test at a significance level of α = 0.10:
 
H₀: µ ≤ 0
Ha�: µ > 0
 
The p-value is ______   than α = 0.10. Therefore, you _______    reject the null hypothesis and you ______   conclude the sighting mechanism, on average, is shooting to the right of the target.

 

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