A pharmacist has been monitoring sales of a certain over-the-counter pain reliever. Daily sales during the last 15 days were

College Algebra
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ISBN:9781938168383
Author:Jay Abramson
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Chapter6: Exponential And Logarithmic Functions
Section6.8: Fitting Exponential Models To Data
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A pharmacist has been monitoring sales of a certain over-the-counter pain reliever. Daily sales during the last 15 days were
 

                   
Day: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Number sold: 34 37 40 39 45 43 47 49 48
Day: 10 11 12 13 14 15      
Number sold: 52 53 47 53 47 49      
 


a. Assume the data refer to demand rather than sales. Using trend-adjusted exponential smoothing with an initial forecast of 42 for Day 8, an initial trend estimate of 2, and α = β = .3, develop demand forecasts for Days 9 through 16. Then compute the resultant MSE using the error values from Days 8 through 15. (Round your intermediate period-by-period forecast and error values to 3 decimal places.  Round your final MSE answer to 3 decimal places.)
 
MSE              

 
 
 
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