A new diagnostic test is developed for Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD). The probability that the test is positive if an animal has FMD is 0.95. The proba- bility that the test is negative if an animal does not have FMD is 0.9. Suppose that the probability that an animal has FMD is 0.01. Given that an animal is

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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A new diagnostic test is developed for Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD). The
probability that the test is positive if an animal has FMD is 0.95. The proba-
bility that the test is negative if an animal does not have FMD is 0.9. Suppose
that the probability that an animal has FMD is 0.01. Given that an animal is
tested positive, what is the probability that it has FMD?
Transcribed Image Text:A new diagnostic test is developed for Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD). The probability that the test is positive if an animal has FMD is 0.95. The proba- bility that the test is negative if an animal does not have FMD is 0.9. Suppose that the probability that an animal has FMD is 0.01. Given that an animal is tested positive, what is the probability that it has FMD?
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