A Markov chain model for a species has four states: State 0 (Lower Risk), State 1 (Vulnerable), State 2 (Threatened), and State 3 (Extinct). For t 2 0, you are given that: Hait = 0.03 12 Ht = 0.05 23 HEt = 0.06 This species is currently in state 0. Calculate the probability this species will be in state 2 ten years later. Assume that reentry is not possible.

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A Markov chain model for a species has four states: State 0 (Lower Risk), State 1 (Vulnerable), State 2 (Threatened), and State 3
(Extinct).
For t 2 0, you are given that:
01
zit = 0.03
12
t= 0.05
23
Hit = 0.06
This species is currently in state 0. Calculate the probability this species will be in state 2 ten years later. Assume that reentry is not
possible.
(Note: This question is similar to #46.2 but with constant forces of mortality)
Possīble Answers
A 0.02
0.03
0.04
D 0.05
E 0.06
Transcribed Image Text:A Markov chain model for a species has four states: State 0 (Lower Risk), State 1 (Vulnerable), State 2 (Threatened), and State 3 (Extinct). For t 2 0, you are given that: 01 zit = 0.03 12 t= 0.05 23 Hit = 0.06 This species is currently in state 0. Calculate the probability this species will be in state 2 ten years later. Assume that reentry is not possible. (Note: This question is similar to #46.2 but with constant forces of mortality) Possīble Answers A 0.02 0.03 0.04 D 0.05 E 0.06
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