Aileen, a Scottish spy, has three fake identities that she uses to get information. The process is really quite involved, but she uses a Markov chain process to make it more difficult for her Irish adversaries to track her: "Hope" (state 1), "Trixie"(state 2), and "Fiona" (state 3). The transition matrix is .5 0 .5]
Aileen, a Scottish spy, has three fake identities that she uses to get information. The process is really quite involved, but she uses a Markov chain process to make it more difficult for her Irish adversaries to track her: "Hope" (state 1), "Trixie"(state 2), and "Fiona" (state 3). The transition matrix is .5 0 .5]
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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
Transcribed Image Text:Aileen, a Scottish spy, has three fake identities that she uses to get information. The process is
really quite involved, but she uses a Markov chain process to make it more difficult for her Irish
adversaries to track her: "Hope" (state 1), "Trixie"(state 2), and "Fiona" (state 3). The transition
matrix is
.5
.5
P =
.1
.9
.6
.4
On the first observation, Aileen used "Fiona" as her identity. Which of the three fake identities is
she most likely to have used on the third observation?
O Fiona and Trixie are equally likely
Fiona
O Hope and Fiona are equally likely
None of the others are correct
Hope
Trixie
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