A manufacturer has three different mechanisms that can be produced in his machine that it sells. The different mechanisms have three different setup costs (overheads) and variable costs and, therefore, the profit from the machines is dependent on the volume of sales. The anticipated payoffs are as follows.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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A manufacturer has three different mechanisms that can be produced in his machine that it sells. The different mechanisms have three different setup costs (overheads) and variable costs and, therefore, the profit from the machines is dependent on the volume of sales. The anticipated payoffs are as follows.

 

 

Light

Moderate

Heavy

Probability

0.30

0.40

0.30

Mechanism A

$425,000

$290,000

$270,000

Mechanism B

$400,000

$320,000

$500,000

Mechanism C

-$300,000

$340,000

$900,000

 

  1. a) Which action would be favored by realist? 
  2. b) Which action would be favored by pessimist and optimist? 
  3. c) What is the minimax regret solution? 
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