A diagnostic test for a certain disease has 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity. Only 1% of the population has the disease in question. If the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at random from the population tests positive, what is the conditional probability that the person does, in fact, have the disease? Are you surprised by the size of the answer? Do you consider this diagnostic test reliable?

A diagnostic test for a certain disease has 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity. Only 1% of the population has the disease in question. If the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at random from the population tests positive, what is the conditional probability that the person does, in fact, have the disease? Are you surprised by the size of the answer? Do you consider this diagnostic test reliable?

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Description: A diagnostic test for a certain disease has 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity. Only 1% of thepopulation has the disease in question. If the diagnostic test reports that a person chosen at randomfrom the population tests positive, what is the condit

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)

10th Edition

ISBN:9780134753119

Author:Sheldon Ross

Publisher:Sheldon Ross

Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...

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