LV Insurance classifies drivers as good, medium, or poor risks. Drivers who apply to them for insurance fall into these three groups in the proportions 30%, 55%, and 15%, respectively. The probability a “good” driver will have an accident is 0.01, the probability a “medium” risk driver will have an accident is 0.04, and the probability a “poor” driver will have an accident is 0.15 The company sells Mr. Villan an insurance policy and he has an accident. What is the probability Mr. Villan is: (i) A “good” driver? (ii) A “medium” risk driver? (iii) A “poor” driver?
Compound Probability
Compound probability can be defined as the probability of the two events which are independent. It can be defined as the multiplication of the probability of two events that are not dependent.
Tree diagram
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the subject of probability. Although there are many different concepts of probability, probability theory expresses the definition mathematically through a series of axioms. Usually, these axioms express probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure with values ranging from 0 to 1 to a set of outcomes known as the sample space. An event is a subset of these outcomes that is described.
Conditional Probability
By definition, the term probability is expressed as a part of mathematics where the chance of an event that may either occur or not is evaluated and expressed in numerical terms. The range of the value within which probability can be expressed is between 0 and 1. The higher the chance of an event occurring, the closer is its value to be 1. If the probability of an event is 1, it means that the event will happen under all considered circumstances. Similarly, if the probability is exactly 0, then no matter the situation, the event will never occur.
LV Insurance classifies drivers as good, medium, or poor risks. Drivers who apply to
them for insurance fall into these three groups in the proportions 30%, 55%, and
15%, respectively.
The
“medium” risk driver will have an accident is 0.04, and the probability a “poor” driver
will have an accident is 0.15
The company sells Mr. Villan an insurance policy and he has an accident. What is
the probability Mr. Villan is:
(i) A “good” driver?
(ii) A “medium” risk driver?
(iii) A “poor” driver?
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