A decision maker faced with four decision altematives and four states of nature develops the following profit payoff table. States of Nature Decision Alternative s. 52 5 5. d. 12 7 3 5 d, 7 d. 6 8 9 11 The decision maker obtains information that enables the following probabilities assessments: P(s,) = 0.5, P(s,) = 0.2, P(s,) = 0.2, and P(s,) = 0.1. (a) Use the expected value approach to determine the optimal decision. EV(d,) EV(d,) EV(d,) EV(d.) The optimal decision is (b) Now assume that the entries in the payoff table are costs. Use the expected value approach to determine the optimal decision. The optimal decision is ? v in

A decision maker faced with four decision altematives and four states of nature develops the following profit payoff table. States of Nature Decision Alternative s. 52 5 5. d. 12 7 3 5 d, 7 d. 6 8 9 11 The decision maker obtains information that enables the following probabilities assessments: P(s,) = 0.5, P(s,) = 0.2, P(s,) = 0.2, and P(s,) = 0.1. (a) Use the expected value approach to determine the optimal decision. EV(d,) EV(d,) EV(d,) EV(d.) The optimal decision is (b) Now assume that the entries in the payoff table are costs. Use the expected value approach to determine the optimal decision. The optimal decision is ? v in

Name: A decision maker faced with four decision altematives and four states
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Description: A decision maker faced with four decision altematives and four states of nature develops the following profit payoff table.States of NatureDecisionAlternatives. 52 5 5.d.12735d,7d.68911The decision maker obtains information that enables the followin

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications

6th Edition

ISBN:9781119256830

Author:Amos Gilat

Publisher:Amos Gilat

Chapter1: Starting With Matlab

Section: Chapter Questions

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In a manufacturing process, lots having 10%, 12%, 14% or 16 defectives are produced according to the respective probabilities 0.2, 0.35, 0.15 and 0.3. Three customers have contracts to receive lots from the manufacturer. The contracts specify that the percentages of defectives in lots shipped to customers A, B and C should not exceed 10, 12 and 14, respectively. If a lot has a higher percentage of defectives that stipulated, a penalty of $ 200 per percentage point is incurred. On the other hand, supplying better quality than required costs the manufacturer $150 per percentage point. If the lots are not inspected prior to shipment, which customer should have the highest priority for receiving the order?
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The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature. Decision Alternative = States of Nature 51 52 53 d₁ d₂ Suppose that the decision maker obtained the probabilities P(s₁) = 0.65, P(5₂) = 0.15, and P(53) = 0.20. Use the expected value approach to determine the optimal decision. EV(d₁) EV(d₂) = The optimal decision is? . 240 90 90 15 90 65
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A company is facing three types of decisions for the purchasing of a seasonal product. The profitprojection may depend on the demand level. The payoffs for the situations are given in the followingtable:DemandDecision High (s1) Medium (s2) Low (s3)d1 60 60 50d2 80 80 30d3 100 70 101. If the prior probabilities are 0.3, 0.3, and 0.4, respectively, what is the recommended decision?Show all the calculations and answer with a decision tree.2. At each preseason sales meeting, the vice president of sales provides a personal opinion regarding potential demand for the product. The prediction of the vice president have alwaysbeen either excellent (E) or very good (G). Posterior probabilities are as follows.P(V)=0.7; P(E)=0.3P(s1|E)=0.34; P(s1|V)=0.2P(s2|E)=0.32; P(s2|V)=0.26;Use a decision tree to give the optimal decision strategy.43. Give the EVPI and the EOL, and EVSI.4. Suppose that the prior probability of a low demand is always fixed to 0.4, give a sensitivityanalysis on the other…
b) Briefly explain the sense in which a Nash equilibrium corresponds to a "no regret outcome."