A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. The firm's management initially felt they had a 50-50 chance of getting the project. However, the agency to which the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. Past experience indicat that for 70% of the successful bids and 39% of the unsuccessful bids the agency requested additional information. a. What is the prior probability of the bid being successful (that is, prior to the request for additional information) (to 1 decimal)? 0.50 b. What is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that the bid will ultimately be successful (to 2 decimals)? 0.78 8 c. Compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for additional information (to 2 decimals). 0.6666 O
A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. The firm's management initially felt they had a 50-50 chance of getting the project. However, the agency to which the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. Past experience indicat that for 70% of the successful bids and 39% of the unsuccessful bids the agency requested additional information. a. What is the prior probability of the bid being successful (that is, prior to the request for additional information) (to 1 decimal)? 0.50 b. What is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that the bid will ultimately be successful (to 2 decimals)? 0.78 8 c. Compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for additional information (to 2 decimals). 0.6666 O
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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