A construction company receives 68% of its ready mix concrete from supplier A and the remainder is supplied by supplier B. From records of previous consignments, it is known that the probability that the ready mix concrete from supplier A is of low quality and needs to be returned is 0.03, while the probability that the ready mix concrete from supplier B needs to be returned is 0.06. (1) Display these probabilltiles on a tree diagram. (i) Calculate the probability that a consignment of ready mix concrete delivered to the construction company is of low quality and needs to be returned. Given that a consignment of ready mix concrete needs to be returned, calculate the probability that it was supplied by supplier A. (i) A company is tendering for 6 new contracts. Penalties wil be applied if

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Q2. (a) A construction company receives 68% of its ready mix concrete from
supplier A and the remainder is supplied by supplier B. From records
of previous consignments, it is known that the probability that the ready
mix concrete from supplier A is of low quality and needs to be returned
is 0.03, while the probability that the ready mix concrete from supplier B
needs to be returned is 0.06.
) Display these probabilities on a tree diagram.
(i) Calculate the probability that a consignment of ready mix
concrete delivered to the construction company is of low quality
and needs to be returned.
(ii) Given that a consignment of ready mix concrete needs to be
returned, calculate the probability that it was supplied by supplier
A.
(b) A company is tendering for 6 new contracts. Penalties will be applied if
any of the contracts are not completed on time. The cost due to not
completing a contract on time must be accounted for in the tender
price. In recent years, this company has completed 20 similar
contracts, of which 2 were not completed on time. Assuming that the
proportion of contracts that are completed on time remains constant
and follows a Binomial distribution,
(1)
Calculate the probability that all 6 of the new contracts are
completed on time.
(ii)
Calculate the probability that none of the new contracts are
completed on time.
(i)
Calculate the probability that fewer than 5 of the new contracts
are completed on time.
Transcribed Image Text:Q2. (a) A construction company receives 68% of its ready mix concrete from supplier A and the remainder is supplied by supplier B. From records of previous consignments, it is known that the probability that the ready mix concrete from supplier A is of low quality and needs to be returned is 0.03, while the probability that the ready mix concrete from supplier B needs to be returned is 0.06. ) Display these probabilities on a tree diagram. (i) Calculate the probability that a consignment of ready mix concrete delivered to the construction company is of low quality and needs to be returned. (ii) Given that a consignment of ready mix concrete needs to be returned, calculate the probability that it was supplied by supplier A. (b) A company is tendering for 6 new contracts. Penalties will be applied if any of the contracts are not completed on time. The cost due to not completing a contract on time must be accounted for in the tender price. In recent years, this company has completed 20 similar contracts, of which 2 were not completed on time. Assuming that the proportion of contracts that are completed on time remains constant and follows a Binomial distribution, (1) Calculate the probability that all 6 of the new contracts are completed on time. (ii) Calculate the probability that none of the new contracts are completed on time. (i) Calculate the probability that fewer than 5 of the new contracts are completed on time.
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