A class is composed of 70% women and 30% men. It is known that 90% of the women in the class want to attend medical school while 60% of the men do. Answer the following questions: 1. What is the probability that a randomly selected student will want to go to medical school? 2. What is the probability that a randomly selected student will not want to go to medical school given that she is a woman? 3. What is the probability that a randomly selected student is a woman given she does not plan to attend medical school?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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A class is composed of 70% women and 30% men. It is known that 90% of the women in the class want to attend medical school while 60% of the men do. Answer the following questions: 1. What is the probability that a randomly selected student will want to go to medical school? 2. What is the probability that a randomly selected student will not want to go to medical school given that she is a woman? 3. What is the probability that a randomly selected student is a woman given she does not plan to attend medical school?
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Step 1

Let W denote women, M denote men and MS denote attending medical school.

Given:

PW=0.7PM=0.3PMS|W=0.9PMS|M=0.60

1.

The probability that a randomly selected student will want to go to medical school is obtained as below:

PMS=PW×PMS|W+PM×PMS|M=0.7×0.9+0.3×0.6=0.63+0.18=0.81

Thus, the probability that a randomly selected student will want to go to medical school is 0.81.

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