On average, there are two bicycle thefts every ten square miles during the course of a month. What is the probability that there will no bicycle thefts in a ten square mile area next month? What is the probability that there will be at least one bicycle theft in a twenty square mile area?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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  1. On average, there are two bicycle thefts every ten square miles during the course of a month.
    1. What is the probability that there will no bicycle thefts in a ten square mile area next month?
    2. What is the probability that there will be at least one bicycle theft in a twenty square mile area?
Expert Solution
Step 1

a. Define the Random Variable,

X : Number of bicycle thefts in ten square miles next month

Average number of bicycle thefts = 2

This problem can be modelled as Poisson distribution.

So, X ~ Poisson(2)

PMF of X is given by,

P(X=x) =e-22xx!

To find the probability,

P(no cycle thefts)

= P(X=0) 

= e-2 = 0.1353

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