(a) A multiple-choice test paper contains 50 questions; for each question three answers are given, one of which is correct. The two incorrect answers to any question are designed to be plausible, so that an ignorant candidate could be expected to pick an answer quite at random. If the examination is marked simply by giving one mark per correct answer, what should the pass mark be if the probability that a completely ignorant candidate passes is to be approximately 1%? (b) Suppose now that the examination is marked by awarding two marks per correct answer, but deducting one mark for every incorrect answer. If an ignorant candidate attempts every question, what is the expectation and variance of the candidate's total score? (c) Consider the position of a candidate when the scoring system is as in part (b), but with only one mark for a correct answer, and when the pass mark is 28. The candidate has revised half the syllabus thoroughly, and finds that he is certain of the correct answers to half the questions. To gain the extra 3 marks needed to pass he decides to guess at the answers to a few more questions. Would the probability of passing be greater if he picked just three more questions hoping to get them all correct, or if he guessed at five questions?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
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(a) A multiple-choice test paper contains 50 questions; for each question three answers are
given, one of which is correct. The two incorrect answers to any question are designed to be
plausible, so that an ignorant candidate could be expected to pick an answer quite at random.
If the examination is marked simply by giving one mark per correct answer, what should the
pass mark be if the probability that a completely ignorant candidate passes is to be
approximately 1%?
(b) Suppose now that the examination is marked by awarding two marks per correct answer,
but deducting one mark for every incorrect answer. If an ignorant candidate attempts every
question, what is the expectation and variance of the candidate's total score?
(c) Consider the position of a candidate when the scoring system is as in part (b), but with only
one mark for a correct answer, and when the pass mark is 28. The candidate has revised half
the syllabus thoroughly, and finds that he is certain of the correct answers to half the questions.
To gain the extra 3 marks needed to pass he decides to guess at the answers to a few more
questions. Would the probability of passing be greater if he picked just three more questions
hoping to get them all correct, or if he guessed at five questions?
Transcribed Image Text:(a) A multiple-choice test paper contains 50 questions; for each question three answers are given, one of which is correct. The two incorrect answers to any question are designed to be plausible, so that an ignorant candidate could be expected to pick an answer quite at random. If the examination is marked simply by giving one mark per correct answer, what should the pass mark be if the probability that a completely ignorant candidate passes is to be approximately 1%? (b) Suppose now that the examination is marked by awarding two marks per correct answer, but deducting one mark for every incorrect answer. If an ignorant candidate attempts every question, what is the expectation and variance of the candidate's total score? (c) Consider the position of a candidate when the scoring system is as in part (b), but with only one mark for a correct answer, and when the pass mark is 28. The candidate has revised half the syllabus thoroughly, and finds that he is certain of the correct answers to half the questions. To gain the extra 3 marks needed to pass he decides to guess at the answers to a few more questions. Would the probability of passing be greater if he picked just three more questions hoping to get them all correct, or if he guessed at five questions?
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