7.11 Topic 11: Inference for Two Proportions 88. The Vegetarian Resource Group commissioned Harris Poll in 2016 to conduct a nationally rep- resentative online poll of 2,015 American adults aged 18 and over. They found that 3.3% of the respondents identified as vegetarian. Food habits in India tend to have a large religious and social component. How does the popularity of the vegetarian diet differ in the US and India? A 2014 survey conducted by the Registrar General of India found that 29% of Indians were vegetarian. Suppose the proportion was obtained from a random sample of 1,000 Indians. (a) Construct and interpret a 99% confidence interval for the difference in proportions of tarians in India and the US. vege- (b) Based on the interval, what kind of evidence do you expect to have for the alternative in a two-sided hypothesis test? Explain. 89. It is hard to persuade consumers to abandon a product with which they are familiar. One experiment gave consumers free samples of a new laundry detergent and also a standard detergent. After some time, ask the subjects which detergent they prefer. Here are the data. User Nonuser Prefer new product Prefer standard product 19 31 29 27 (a) Calculate a 90% confidence interval for the difference in proportions between nonusers and users of the standard detergent that prefer the new detergent. (b) Based on the confidence interval in (a), can we conclude that a significant difference exists between the proportion of nonusers of the standard detergent who prefer the new detergent and the proportion of users of the standard detergent who prefer the new detergent? Explain. 90. Spending on concessions at the movies varies by age of the movie goer. A random sample of 100 adults in their 40's found that 70 purchased popcorn. A random sample of 100 adults less than 40 years old found that 59 purchased popcorn. (a) State the hypotheses for determining of there is a difference in the proportion of adults who purchase popcorn in each age group. (b) Calculate the test statistic. (c) Calculate the p-value. (d) Interpret the p-value. (e) State your conclusion. (f) Would a confidence interval for the difference in proportions contain zero? Explain without constructing the interval. 91. Africa and the Middle East are two of the least popular regions traveled to in study abroad programs. Suppose a random sample of 250 college students found that 10 traveled to Africa for study abroad. A second random sample of 375 college students found that 10 studied in the Middle East. Is there evidence that more students study abroad in Africa than the Middle East? Perform the appropriate test and include all steps.
Addition Rule of Probability
It simply refers to the likelihood of an event taking place whenever the occurrence of an event is uncertain. The probability of a single event can be calculated by dividing the number of successful trials of that event by the total number of trials.
Expected Value
When a large number of trials are performed for any random variable ‘X’, the predicted result is most likely the mean of all the outcomes for the random variable and it is known as expected value also known as expectation. The expected value, also known as the expectation, is denoted by: E(X).
Probability Distributions
Understanding probability is necessary to know the probability distributions. In statistics, probability is how the uncertainty of an event is measured. This event can be anything. The most common examples include tossing a coin, rolling a die, or choosing a card. Each of these events has multiple possibilities. Every such possibility is measured with the help of probability. To be more precise, the probability is used for calculating the occurrence of events that may or may not happen. Probability does not give sure results. Unless the probability of any event is 1, the different outcomes may or may not happen in real life, regardless of how less or how more their probability is.
Basic Probability
The simple definition of probability it is a chance of the occurrence of an event. It is defined in numerical form and the probability value is between 0 to 1. The probability value 0 indicates that there is no chance of that event occurring and the probability value 1 indicates that the event will occur. Sum of the probability value must be 1. The probability value is never a negative number. If it happens, then recheck the calculation.
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