7. The following circuit operates if and only if there is a path of functional devices from left to right. The probability each device functions is as shown. Assume that the probability that a device function does not depend on whether or not other devices are functional. What is the probability that the circuit operates?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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7. The following circuit operates if and only if there is a path of functional devices from left to
right. The probability each device functions is as shown. Assume that the probability that a
device function does not depend on whether or not other devices are functional. What is the
probability that the circuit operates?
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.95
0.95
0.9
8. A new analytical method to detect pollutants in water is being tested. This new method of
chemical analysis is important because, if adopted, it could be used to detect three different
contaminants-organic pollutants, volatile solvents, and chlorinated compounds-instead of
having to use a single test for each pollutant. The makers of the test claim that it can detect
high levels of organic pollutants with 99.7% accuracy, volatile solvents with 99.95% accuracy
and chlorinated compounds with 89.7% accuracy. If a pollutant is not present, the test does
not signal. Samples are prepared for the calibration of the test and 60% of them are
contaminated with organic pollutants, 27% with volatile solvents, and 13% with traces of
chlorinated compounds. A test sample is selected randomly.
a. What is the probability that the test will signal?
b. If the test signals, what is the probability that chlorinated compounds are present?
Transcribed Image Text:7. The following circuit operates if and only if there is a path of functional devices from left to right. The probability each device functions is as shown. Assume that the probability that a device function does not depend on whether or not other devices are functional. What is the probability that the circuit operates? 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.95 0.95 0.9 8. A new analytical method to detect pollutants in water is being tested. This new method of chemical analysis is important because, if adopted, it could be used to detect three different contaminants-organic pollutants, volatile solvents, and chlorinated compounds-instead of having to use a single test for each pollutant. The makers of the test claim that it can detect high levels of organic pollutants with 99.7% accuracy, volatile solvents with 99.95% accuracy and chlorinated compounds with 89.7% accuracy. If a pollutant is not present, the test does not signal. Samples are prepared for the calibration of the test and 60% of them are contaminated with organic pollutants, 27% with volatile solvents, and 13% with traces of chlorinated compounds. A test sample is selected randomly. a. What is the probability that the test will signal? b. If the test signals, what is the probability that chlorinated compounds are present?
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