7. The Alaska Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates that the project would cost $5.6 million today. The firm estimates that once drilled, the oil will generate positive cash flows of $2.8 million a year at the end of each of the next four years. While the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, it recognizes that if it waits two years, they would have more information about the local geology as well as the price of oil. Alaska Oil estimates that if it waits two years, the project would cost $6.3 million. Moreover, if it waits two years, there is a 90% chance that the cash flows would be $2.94 million a year for four years, and there is a 10% chance that the cash flows will be $1.54 million a year for four years. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at a 10% WACC. If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project's net present value (in millions)? a. $2.3134 b. $2.9875 c. $3.2756 d. $3.9181 e. $4.6795

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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7. The Alaska Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns.
The company estimates that the project would cost $5.6 million today. The firm estimates that once
drilled, the oil will generate positive cash flows of $2.8 million a year at the end of each of the next
four years. While the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, it recognizes that if it
waits two years, they would have more information about the local geology as well as the price of oil.
Alaska Oil estimates that if it waits two years, the project would cost $6.3 million. Moreover, if it
waits two years, there is a 90% chance that the cash flows would be $2.94 million a year for four
years, and there is a 10% chance that the cash flows will be $1.54 million a year for four years.
Assume that all cash flows are discounted at a 10% WACC. If the company chooses to drill today,
what is the project's net present value (in millions)?
a. $2.3134
b. $2.9875
c. $3.2756
d. $3.9181
e. $4.6795
Transcribed Image Text:7. The Alaska Oil Company is deciding whether to drill for oil on a tract of land that the company owns. The company estimates that the project would cost $5.6 million today. The firm estimates that once drilled, the oil will generate positive cash flows of $2.8 million a year at the end of each of the next four years. While the company is fairly confident about its cash flow forecast, it recognizes that if it waits two years, they would have more information about the local geology as well as the price of oil. Alaska Oil estimates that if it waits two years, the project would cost $6.3 million. Moreover, if it waits two years, there is a 90% chance that the cash flows would be $2.94 million a year for four years, and there is a 10% chance that the cash flows will be $1.54 million a year for four years. Assume that all cash flows are discounted at a 10% WACC. If the company chooses to drill today, what is the project's net present value (in millions)? a. $2.3134 b. $2.9875 c. $3.2756 d. $3.9181 e. $4.6795
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