7. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Probability Stocks (%) Bonds (%) Boom .20 -5% +14 Normal economy .60 +10 +8 Recession .20 +20 +4 a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury Bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer?
7. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Probability Stocks (%) Bonds (%) Boom .20 -5% +14 Normal economy .60 +10 +8 Recession .20 +20 +4 a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury Bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer?
Chapter8: Analysis Of Risk And Return
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P
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Please correct answer and don't use hand raiting

Transcribed Image Text:7. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis:
Rate of Return
Probability
Stocks (%) Bonds (%)
Boom
.20
-5%
+14
Normal economy
.60
+10
+8
Recession
.20
+20
+4
a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury Bonds will provide higher
returns in recessions than in booms?
b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each
investment.
c. Which investment would you prefer?
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