7. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Probability Stocks (%) Bonds (%) Boom .20 -5% +14 Normal economy .60 +10 +8 Recession .20 +20 +4 a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury Bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer?

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN:9781337514835
Author:MOYER
Publisher:MOYER
Chapter8: Analysis Of Risk And Return
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P
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7. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis:
Rate of Return
Probability
Stocks (%) Bonds (%)
Boom
.20
-5%
+14
Normal economy
.60
+10
+8
Recession
.20
+20
+4
a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury Bonds will provide higher
returns in recessions than in booms?
b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each
investment.
c. Which investment would you prefer?
Transcribed Image Text:7. Scenario Analysis. Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Probability Stocks (%) Bonds (%) Boom .20 -5% +14 Normal economy .60 +10 +8 Recession .20 +20 +4 a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury Bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer?
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