5.23 Residents of Mill River have fond memories of ice skating at a local park. An artist has captured the experience in a drawing and is hoping to reproduce it and sell framed copies to current and former residents. He thinks that if the market is good he can sell 400 copies of the elegant version at $125 each. If the market is not good, he will sell only 300 at $90 each. He can make a deluxe version of the same drawing instead. He feels that if the market is good he can sell 500 copies of the deluxe version at $100 each. If the market is not good, he will sell only 400 copies at $70 each. In either case, production costs will be approximately $35,000. He can also choose to do nothing. If he believes there is a 50% probability of a good market, what should he do? Why?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
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5.23 Residents of Mill River have fond memories of ice skating at a local park. An artist has captured the
experience in a drawing and is hoping to reproduce it and sell framed copies to current and former
residents. He thinks that if the market is good he can sell 400 copies of the elegant version at $125 each.
If the market is not good, he will sell only 300 at $90 each. He can make a deluxe version of the same
drawing instead. He feels that if the market is good he can sell 500 copies of the deluxe version at $100
each. If the market is not good, he will sell only 400 copies at $70 each. In either case, production costs
will be approximately $35,000. He can also choose to do nothing. If he believes there is a 50%
probability of a good market, what should he do? Why?
Transcribed Image Text:5.23 Residents of Mill River have fond memories of ice skating at a local park. An artist has captured the experience in a drawing and is hoping to reproduce it and sell framed copies to current and former residents. He thinks that if the market is good he can sell 400 copies of the elegant version at $125 each. If the market is not good, he will sell only 300 at $90 each. He can make a deluxe version of the same drawing instead. He feels that if the market is good he can sell 500 copies of the deluxe version at $100 each. If the market is not good, he will sell only 400 copies at $70 each. In either case, production costs will be approximately $35,000. He can also choose to do nothing. If he believes there is a 50% probability of a good market, what should he do? Why?
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