5. Here's an example where the Poisson distribution was used in a maternity hospital to work out how many births would be expected during the night. The hospital had 3000 deliveries each year, so if these happened randomly around the clock 1000 deliveries would be expected between the hours of midnight and 8.00 a.m. This is the time when many staff are off duty, and it is important to ensure that there will be enough people to cope with the workload on any night. The average number of deliveries per night is 1000/365, which is 2.74. From this average rate the probability of delivering 0,1,2, etc babies each night can be calculated using the Poisson distribution. Some probabilities are: P(0) 2.74°e-2.74 / 0! P(1) 2.74' e-2.74 / 1! = 0.177 P(2) 2.742 e-2.74 / 2! = 0.242 P(3) 2.743 e-2.74 / 3! = 0.221 = 0.065 (i) On how many days in the year would 5 or more deliveries be expected in the night? (ii) Over the course of one year, what is the Expected number of deliveries in any DAY?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
icon
Related questions
Question
**Example of Poisson Distribution in a Maternity Hospital Setting**

In a maternity hospital, the Poisson distribution is used to estimate the number of births expected during the night. The hospital handles 3000 deliveries annually. If these occur randomly throughout the day, approximately 1000 deliveries are expected between midnight and 8:00 a.m. It's crucial during these hours to ensure adequate staffing.

The average number of nightly deliveries is calculated as 1000/365, which equals 2.74. Using the Poisson distribution, the probability of delivering 0, 1, 2, etc., babies per night can be determined. Here are some calculated probabilities:

- **P(0)**: \(2.74^0 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 0! = 0.065\)
- **P(1)**: \(2.74^1 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 1! = 0.177\)
- **P(2)**: \(2.74^2 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 2! = 0.242\)
- **P(3)**: \(2.74^3 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 3! = 0.221\)

**Questions:**

(i) On how many days in the year would five or more deliveries be expected at night?

(ii) Over the course of one year, what is the expected number of deliveries in any day?

(iii) Why might the pattern of deliveries not follow a Poisson distribution?
Transcribed Image Text:**Example of Poisson Distribution in a Maternity Hospital Setting** In a maternity hospital, the Poisson distribution is used to estimate the number of births expected during the night. The hospital handles 3000 deliveries annually. If these occur randomly throughout the day, approximately 1000 deliveries are expected between midnight and 8:00 a.m. It's crucial during these hours to ensure adequate staffing. The average number of nightly deliveries is calculated as 1000/365, which equals 2.74. Using the Poisson distribution, the probability of delivering 0, 1, 2, etc., babies per night can be determined. Here are some calculated probabilities: - **P(0)**: \(2.74^0 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 0! = 0.065\) - **P(1)**: \(2.74^1 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 1! = 0.177\) - **P(2)**: \(2.74^2 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 2! = 0.242\) - **P(3)**: \(2.74^3 \cdot e^{-2.74} / 3! = 0.221\) **Questions:** (i) On how many days in the year would five or more deliveries be expected at night? (ii) Over the course of one year, what is the expected number of deliveries in any day? (iii) Why might the pattern of deliveries not follow a Poisson distribution?
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps with 1 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Statistics
ISBN:
9780134683416
Author:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:
PEARSON
The Basic Practice of Statistics
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319042578
Author:
David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319013387
Author:
David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman