42. Show that in Example 4.4.7, page 153, the difference between the two candidates is statistically significant even at a confidence level of 99.7%.
42. Show that in Example 4.4.7, page 153, the difference between the two candidates is statistically significant even at a confidence level of 99.7%.
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
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Transcribed Image Text:Example 4.4.7. One week before the election a new public poll is taken.
In the two weeks between the polls, Candidate B increases his support among
likely voters. The results of the new poll are 581 in favor of Candidate A, and
769 in favor of Candidate B. Is the difference now statistically significant?
CHAPTER 4. STATISTICS
154
The sample size is n = 1350, and the poll presents only two options, so
there is a common standard error.
581
For Candidate A, we have k = 581, so
2 0.4303 or 43.03%. For
1350
769
Candidate B, we have k = 769, so p =
2 0.5696 or 56.96%.
1350
0.4304 × (1 – 0.4304)
The standard error is st.err. ~
- 0.0135 or
1350
1.35%.
The confidence interval for Candidate A goes from 43.03 – 2 x 1.35 to
43.03 + 2 x 1.35, that is from 40.33% to 45.73%.
The confidence interval for Candidate B goes from 56.96 – 2 × 1.35 to
56.96 + 2 x 1.35, that is from 54.26% to 59.66%.
As we can see below, the confidence interval for Candidate B is com-
pletely to the right of the interval for Candidate A. Candidate B now has a
statistically significant advantage over Candidate A.
A
士
40.33
43.03
45.73
В
E*******I*******I
54.26
56.96
59.66
Figure 4.19: Non-overlapping Confidence Intervals for Two Candidates
Both candidates still have one more week to go before the election. Who
knows what may happen.

Transcribed Image Text:42. Show that in Example 4.4.7, page 153, the difference between the two
candidates is statistically significant even at a confidence level of 99.7%.
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