3(ii) A bank sets up a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) for a CDO issue. The SPV wants to understand the risks that they may face, so they run simulations of the annual cash flows out of their portfolio. Selected results of the simulation are shown in the table below. Annual Portfolio Cash Flows Mean Std. Dev. Min. 5th 10th Percentiles 15th 85th 90th 95th (1,172) 16,651 (7,760) (6,800) (4,880) (3,920) 2,480 14,320 15,280 Max. 26,400 The SPV wants to hold risk capital to cover its losses to the 95th percentile, and expected CDO payouts for the next five years add up to $100m. How much capital would you advise them to hold, and why?

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3(ii) A bank sets up a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) for a CDO issue. The SPV wants to understand
the risks that they may face, so they run simulations of the annual cash flows out of their
portfolio. Selected results of the simulation are shown in the table below.
Annual Portfolio Cash Flows
Mean
Std.
Dev.
Min.
5th
10th
Percentiles
15th
85th 90th
(1,172) 16,651 (7,760) (6,800) (4,880) (3,920) 2,480
95th
Max.
14,320 15,280 26,400
The SPV wants to hold risk capital to cover its losses to the 95th percentile, and expected CDO
payouts for the next five years add up to $100m. How much capital would you advise them to
hold, and why?
Transcribed Image Text:3(ii) A bank sets up a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) for a CDO issue. The SPV wants to understand the risks that they may face, so they run simulations of the annual cash flows out of their portfolio. Selected results of the simulation are shown in the table below. Annual Portfolio Cash Flows Mean Std. Dev. Min. 5th 10th Percentiles 15th 85th 90th (1,172) 16,651 (7,760) (6,800) (4,880) (3,920) 2,480 95th Max. 14,320 15,280 26,400 The SPV wants to hold risk capital to cover its losses to the 95th percentile, and expected CDO payouts for the next five years add up to $100m. How much capital would you advise them to hold, and why?
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