36. Consider all courtroom trials with a single de-fendant who is charged with a felony. Supposethat you are given the following probabilities forthis situation.Seventy-five percent of the defendants are, infact, guilty. Given that the defendant is guilty,there is a 70 percent chance the jury will con-vict the person. Given that the defendant is notguilty, there is a 40 percent chance the jury willconvict the person.For simplicity, assume that the only optionsavailable to the jury are: to convict or to releasethe defendant.(a) What proportion of the defendants will beconvicted by the jury?(b) Given that a defendant is convicted, whatis the probability the person is, in fact,guilty?(c) What is the probability that the jury willmake a correct decision?(d) Given that the jury makes an incorrect de-cision, what is the probability that the de-cision is to release a guilty person?

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Answered: 36. Consider all courtroom trials with…

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)

10th Edition

ISBN:9780134753119

Author:Sheldon Ross

Publisher:Sheldon Ross

Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...

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You are an analyst for a consumer products company. You run a survey of 1000 customers and find that 80% of customers use gel packs for laundry detergent (the rest use liquid or powder) and 40% of customers use gel packs for their dishwasher detergent (the rest use liquid or powder). You also learn that twice as many customers use laundry detergent than dishwasher detergent.
Your car is making a funny noise. You believe that the problem is either with the wheel or the axle, and you believe the probability is 0.3 that the wheel needs to be replaced, and 0.7 that the axle needs to be replaced. You need to decide whether to replace the wheel or the axle first. The cost of each alternative is given in the following table (if you decided to replace the wrong part first, you have to replace both of them). The Wheel is broken p = 0.3 The Axle is broken p = 0.7 Replace Wheel First Replace Axle First 600 1500 1500 900 a) Find the EV of each decision alternative. Which part should you replace first? b) What is the EVPI?
Wendy needs to get to an airport from a hotel. There is 0.33 chance that she calls a cab, there is 0.11 chance that she gets a Uber. If she cannot get a cab or Uber, she will take a shuttle. If she calls a cab, there is 0.29 chance that she could miss the flight. If she gets a Uber, the chance of missing flight is 0.22. If she takes the shuttle, the chance is 0.28. What is the probability that she misses the flight? (Round your answer to three decimal places)
Please answer correctly.
Becky and Carla take an advanced yoga class. Becky can hold 29% of her poses for over a minute, while Carla can hold 35% of her poses for over a minute. Suppose each yoga student is asked to hold 50 poses. Let B the proportion of poses Becky can hold for over a minute and C = the proportion of poses Carla can hold for over a minute. What is the probability that Becky's proportion of poses held for over a minute is greater than Carla's? Find the z-table here. O 0.159 O 0,259 0 0.448 O 0,741 Save and Exit Next Submit Math and rem 96 & 7 8 9. 10
Suppose an oil company is thinking of buying some land for $10,000,000. There is a 60%60% chance of economic growth and a 40%40% chance of recession. The probability of discovering oil is 44%44% when there is economic growth and 32%32% when there is a recession. If there is economic growth and the oil company discovers oil, the value of the land will triple. If they do not discover oil, the value of the land will decrease by 10%.10%. If there is a recession and the company discovers oil, the value of the land will increase by 50%.50%. If they do not discover oil, the land will decrease in value by 75%.75%. What is the expected value of the investment? Give your answer to the nearest dollar. Avoid rounding within calculations. $$ Select the correct interpretation of the expected value. The expected value represents what the actual investment value will be for this land purchase of $10,000,000. The company should make the investment because the expected value…
On Mr. Casper's debate team at Thunderbird High School, 20% of the members are Sophomores, 35% are Juniors and 45% are Seniors. A team member is selected randomly to give the closing argument for the team. If a sophomore gives the closing argument, the team has a probability of 0.25 of winning the debate. If a junior gives the closing argument, the probability of winning is 0.6. If a senior closes, the probability of winning is 0.85. (a) Find the probability that the team wins the debate. b sketch a tree diagram to model this process
Samatya supermarket is planning to order souvenir cups for the upcoming national feast. The cups cost $5 and sells for $20 each. The managers believe that the demand will be 500 cups with 20% probability, 1000 cups with 50% probability and 1500 cups with 30% probability. They plan to order 600, 1000 or 1300 cups. They have the opportunity to order 200 cups more for with a $15 per cup cost if the demand comes out as 1500 cups. The cups left on hand will be scrapped as there will be no more demand for them. Draw and solve the decision tree for this problem.
i need part D
Friskie is having her fifth litter. The prior litters have either been three normal pups or two normal pups and a runt. Assume the probability of either outcome is 50%.
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You are an analyst for a consumer products company. You run a survey of 1000 customers and find that 80% of customers use gel packs for laundry detergent (the rest use liquid or powder) and 40% of customers use gel packs for their dishwasher detergent (the rest use liquid or powder). You also learn that twice as many customers use laundry detergent than dishwasher detergent.

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