26. The annual numbers of fatal traffic motor accidents are monitored in three different geographical regions, with the results given in Table 5.14. Two analysts are asked to predict the number of fatal traffic accidents for Region A for next year. Analyst 1 would like to like to use the empirical Bayes Model 1 to make a prediction. Analyst 2 is going to use a Bayesian approach assuming the number of annual traffic accidents is a Poisson variable with parameter A, and where she can assume prior knowledge of A summarized by a gamma I (54, 3) distribution. Find the predictions which the two analysts would make in this situation! TABLE 5.14 Annual fatal traffic accidents. Year →>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 Region A 14 17 12 19 18 16 Region B 21 32 16 7 17 33 Region C 11 7 9 8 12 13
26. The annual numbers of fatal traffic motor accidents are monitored in three different geographical regions, with the results given in Table 5.14. Two analysts are asked to predict the number of fatal traffic accidents for Region A for next year. Analyst 1 would like to like to use the empirical Bayes Model 1 to make a prediction. Analyst 2 is going to use a Bayesian approach assuming the number of annual traffic accidents is a Poisson variable with parameter A, and where she can assume prior knowledge of A summarized by a gamma I (54, 3) distribution. Find the predictions which the two analysts would make in this situation! TABLE 5.14 Annual fatal traffic accidents. Year →>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 Region A 14 17 12 19 18 16 Region B 21 32 16 7 17 33 Region C 11 7 9 8 12 13
Linear Algebra: A Modern Introduction
4th Edition
ISBN:9781285463247
Author:David Poole
Publisher:David Poole
Chapter7: Distance And Approximation
Section7.3: Least Squares Approximation
Problem 31EQ
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