2 You need to borrow money for gas, so you ask your mother. Before giving you money, she makes You play a game. She wants you to spin a spinner That has bevenly divided wedges. Three red, two one blue. She will give 17 2 if you land geen on ved, 08 it You land on green, and II it You land on blue. and a Determine the expected value of the game- B How much you expect to win if you play this Game 25 time?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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### Probability and Expected Value

#### Scenario:
You need to borrow money for gas, so you ask your mother. Before giving you money, she makes you play a game. She wants you to spin a spinner that has 6 evenly divided wedges: three red, two green, and one blue. She will give you:
- $2 if you land on red
- $8 if you land on green
- $11 if you land on blue

#### Questions:

a. **Determine the expected value of the game.**

b. **How much do you expect to win if you play this game 25 times?**

#### Explanation:

1. **Determine the expected value of the game:**

   To find the expected value (EV), you multiply each outcome by its probability and then sum up these values.

   - The probability of landing on red: \( P(\text{Red}) = \frac{3}{6} = 0.5 \)
   - The probability of landing on green: \( P(\text{Green}) = \frac{2}{6} \approx 0.333 \)
   - The probability of landing on blue: \( P(\text{Blue}) = \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.167 \)

   Now, calculate the expected value using these probabilities:
   
   \[
   \text{EV} = (2 \times 0.5) + (8 \times 0.333) + (11 \times 0.167)
   \]

   - \(2 \times 0.5 = 1\)
   - \(8 \times 0.333 \approx 2.664\)
   - \(11 \times 0.167 \approx 1.837\)

   \[
   \text{EV} = 1 + 2.664 + 1.837 = 5.501
   \]

   So, the expected value of the game is approximately $5.501.

2. **How much you expect to win if you play this game 25 times?**

   To find the total expected win over 25 spins, multiply the expected value by 25:
   
   \[
   \text{Total Expected Win} = \text{EV} \times 25
   \]

   \[
   \text{Total Expected Win} = 5.501 \times 25 = 137
Transcribed Image Text:### Probability and Expected Value #### Scenario: You need to borrow money for gas, so you ask your mother. Before giving you money, she makes you play a game. She wants you to spin a spinner that has 6 evenly divided wedges: three red, two green, and one blue. She will give you: - $2 if you land on red - $8 if you land on green - $11 if you land on blue #### Questions: a. **Determine the expected value of the game.** b. **How much do you expect to win if you play this game 25 times?** #### Explanation: 1. **Determine the expected value of the game:** To find the expected value (EV), you multiply each outcome by its probability and then sum up these values. - The probability of landing on red: \( P(\text{Red}) = \frac{3}{6} = 0.5 \) - The probability of landing on green: \( P(\text{Green}) = \frac{2}{6} \approx 0.333 \) - The probability of landing on blue: \( P(\text{Blue}) = \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.167 \) Now, calculate the expected value using these probabilities: \[ \text{EV} = (2 \times 0.5) + (8 \times 0.333) + (11 \times 0.167) \] - \(2 \times 0.5 = 1\) - \(8 \times 0.333 \approx 2.664\) - \(11 \times 0.167 \approx 1.837\) \[ \text{EV} = 1 + 2.664 + 1.837 = 5.501 \] So, the expected value of the game is approximately $5.501. 2. **How much you expect to win if you play this game 25 times?** To find the total expected win over 25 spins, multiply the expected value by 25: \[ \text{Total Expected Win} = \text{EV} \times 25 \] \[ \text{Total Expected Win} = 5.501 \times 25 = 137
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