15. Kim Kardashian (age 43) announced today that she is pregnant after long struggle with infertility. Infertility rate among 40-44 years old females in 28%. a. What is the probability that a 40-44-year-old female is NOT infertile? b. Three friends who are 40-44 years old are all trying to get pregnant. What is the probability that they'll all have babies (NONE is infertile)?

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**Infertility and Pregnancy Probability in Women Aged 40-44**

**Case Study: Kim Kardashian's Pregnancy Announcement**
Age: 43

Kim Kardashian announced today that she is pregnant after a long struggle with infertility. The infertility rate among females aged 40-44 years is 28%.

**Questions:**

a. **Probability of a 40-44-Year-Old Female Being Fertile**

   *Question:* What is the probability that a 40–44-year-old female is NOT infertile?

   *Calculation:* 
   The infertility rate is given as 28%. Therefore, the probability that a 40-44-year-old female is fertile (not infertile) is:

   \[
   P(\text{Not Infertile}) = 1 - P(\text{Infertile}) = 1 - 0.28 = 0.72 \text{ or } 72\%
   \]

b. **Probability of Three Friends Conceiving**

   *Question:* Three friends who are 40-44 years old are all trying to get pregnant. What is the probability that they’ll all have babies (NONE is infertile)?

   *Calculation:* 
   The probability that one woman in this age group is not infertile is 72%. To find the probability that all three friends are not infertile and will conceive, we multiply the individual probabilities:

   \[
   P(\text{All three are not infertile}) = 0.72 \times 0.72 \times 0.72 = 0.72^3 \approx 0.3732 \text{ or } 37.32\%
   \]

**Explanation of Probabilities:**

- The first calculation determines how likely it is for an individual woman aged 40-44 to be fertile.
- The second calculation extends this to a group of three women, assuming each woman's fertility is independent of the others'.
Transcribed Image Text:**Infertility and Pregnancy Probability in Women Aged 40-44** **Case Study: Kim Kardashian's Pregnancy Announcement** Age: 43 Kim Kardashian announced today that she is pregnant after a long struggle with infertility. The infertility rate among females aged 40-44 years is 28%. **Questions:** a. **Probability of a 40-44-Year-Old Female Being Fertile** *Question:* What is the probability that a 40–44-year-old female is NOT infertile? *Calculation:* The infertility rate is given as 28%. Therefore, the probability that a 40-44-year-old female is fertile (not infertile) is: \[ P(\text{Not Infertile}) = 1 - P(\text{Infertile}) = 1 - 0.28 = 0.72 \text{ or } 72\% \] b. **Probability of Three Friends Conceiving** *Question:* Three friends who are 40-44 years old are all trying to get pregnant. What is the probability that they’ll all have babies (NONE is infertile)? *Calculation:* The probability that one woman in this age group is not infertile is 72%. To find the probability that all three friends are not infertile and will conceive, we multiply the individual probabilities: \[ P(\text{All three are not infertile}) = 0.72 \times 0.72 \times 0.72 = 0.72^3 \approx 0.3732 \text{ or } 37.32\% \] **Explanation of Probabilities:** - The first calculation determines how likely it is for an individual woman aged 40-44 to be fertile. - The second calculation extends this to a group of three women, assuming each woman's fertility is independent of the others'.
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