(15) 19. There are some management personnel that are very pessimistic about this project. What decision would be made under a pessimistic (maximin) decision criterion?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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(15) 19. There are some management personnel that are very pessimistic about this project.
What decision would be made under a pessimistic (maximin) decision criterion?
Transcribed Image Text:(15) 19. There are some management personnel that are very pessimistic about this project. What decision would be made under a pessimistic (maximin) decision criterion?
Your company, Drones, INC, must decide on their path forward in regard to new or expanded
facilities for drone production. The table below shows the potential profits/losses for each
decision alternative in each of 4 market conditions (states of nature). Note that the numbers in
red (with a minus sign) are losses. NOTE: I have provided some extra columns and rows for
your computations. NOTE THAT THE OBJECTIVE IS TO MAXIMIZE PROFIT.
STATES OF NATURE FOR POTENTIAL
MARKETS FOR DRONES
DECISION
EXCELLENT GOOD
FAIR
POOR
ALTERNATIVES
OPEN 2 NEW
$600,000
$400,000 -$200,000 -$500,000
PLANTS FOR
PRODUCTION
OPEN 1 NEW
$500,000
$200,000 -$100,000 -$300,000
PLANT FOR
PRODUCTION
EXPAND
$150,000
$75,000
$0
-$100,000
CURRENT
PLANT
DO NOTHING
$0
$0
$0
$0
6.
Transcribed Image Text:Your company, Drones, INC, must decide on their path forward in regard to new or expanded facilities for drone production. The table below shows the potential profits/losses for each decision alternative in each of 4 market conditions (states of nature). Note that the numbers in red (with a minus sign) are losses. NOTE: I have provided some extra columns and rows for your computations. NOTE THAT THE OBJECTIVE IS TO MAXIMIZE PROFIT. STATES OF NATURE FOR POTENTIAL MARKETS FOR DRONES DECISION EXCELLENT GOOD FAIR POOR ALTERNATIVES OPEN 2 NEW $600,000 $400,000 -$200,000 -$500,000 PLANTS FOR PRODUCTION OPEN 1 NEW $500,000 $200,000 -$100,000 -$300,000 PLANT FOR PRODUCTION EXPAND $150,000 $75,000 $0 -$100,000 CURRENT PLANT DO NOTHING $0 $0 $0 $0 6.
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