12. In a certain region about 5% of a city's population moves to the surrounding suburbs each year, and about 3% of the suburban population moves into the city. In 2018, there were 2000000 residents in the city and 750000 in the suburbs. Write down a migration matrix that describes this situation and use it to estimate the expected populations in the city and in the suburbs in 2020.

Elementary Geometry for College Students
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ISBN:9781285195698
Author:Daniel C. Alexander, Geralyn M. Koeberlein
Publisher:Daniel C. Alexander, Geralyn M. Koeberlein
ChapterA: Appendices
SectionA.1: Algebraic Expressions
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**Problem 12: Population Migration Analysis**

In a certain region, about 5% of a city's population moves to the surrounding suburbs each year, and about 3% of the suburban population moves into the city. In 2018, there were 200,000 residents in the city and 75,000 in the suburbs. Write down a migration matrix that describes this situation and use it to estimate the expected populations in the city and in the suburbs in 2020.

### Explanation

To model this scenario, we can use a migration matrix to represent the movement of populations between the city and the suburbs. Let \( C_t \) and \( S_t \) represent the populations of the city and suburbs, respectively, at time \( t \). Then the migration between the city and suburbs can be represented as:

\[ \begin{bmatrix} 
C_{t+1} \\ 
S_{t+1}
\end{bmatrix} 
=
\begin{bmatrix} 
0.95 & 0.03 \\ 
0.05 & 0.97 
\end{bmatrix} 
\begin{bmatrix} 
C_t \\ 
S_t 
\end{bmatrix} \]

### Initial Conditions

For the year 2018:

\[ \begin{bmatrix} 
C_{2018} \\ 
S_{2018}
\end{bmatrix} 
=
\begin{bmatrix} 
200000 \\ 
75000 
\end{bmatrix} \]

### Estimating Populations in 2020

We can calculate the populations in subsequent years using the migration matrix. First, calculate the populations for 2019:

\[ \begin{bmatrix} 
C_{2019} \\ 
S_{2019}
\end{bmatrix} 
=
\begin{bmatrix} 
0.95 & 0.03 \\ 
0.05 & 0.97 
\end{bmatrix} 
\begin{bmatrix} 
200000 \\ 
75000 
\end{bmatrix} 
=
\begin{bmatrix} 
0.95 \times 200000 + 0.03 \times 75000 \\ 
0.05 \times 200000 + 0.97 \times 75000 
\end{bmatrix} = 
\begin{bmatrix} 
197250 \\ 
778750 
\end{
Transcribed Image Text:**Problem 12: Population Migration Analysis** In a certain region, about 5% of a city's population moves to the surrounding suburbs each year, and about 3% of the suburban population moves into the city. In 2018, there were 200,000 residents in the city and 75,000 in the suburbs. Write down a migration matrix that describes this situation and use it to estimate the expected populations in the city and in the suburbs in 2020. ### Explanation To model this scenario, we can use a migration matrix to represent the movement of populations between the city and the suburbs. Let \( C_t \) and \( S_t \) represent the populations of the city and suburbs, respectively, at time \( t \). Then the migration between the city and suburbs can be represented as: \[ \begin{bmatrix} C_{t+1} \\ S_{t+1} \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 0.95 & 0.03 \\ 0.05 & 0.97 \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} C_t \\ S_t \end{bmatrix} \] ### Initial Conditions For the year 2018: \[ \begin{bmatrix} C_{2018} \\ S_{2018} \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 200000 \\ 75000 \end{bmatrix} \] ### Estimating Populations in 2020 We can calculate the populations in subsequent years using the migration matrix. First, calculate the populations for 2019: \[ \begin{bmatrix} C_{2019} \\ S_{2019} \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 0.95 & 0.03 \\ 0.05 & 0.97 \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} 200000 \\ 75000 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 0.95 \times 200000 + 0.03 \times 75000 \\ 0.05 \times 200000 + 0.97 \times 75000 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 197250 \\ 778750 \end{
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