10 11 12 13 t 8 9. 14 S 8.1 7.3 7.8 9.2 11.3 12.8 12.9

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The manager of a store recorded the annual sales S (in thousands of dollars) of a product over a period of 7 years, as shown in the table, where t is the time in years, with t = 8 corresponding to 2008.(a) Use the regression capabilities of a graphing utility to find a model of the form                            S = at3 + bt2 + ct + d for the data. (b) Use a graphing utility to plot the data and graph the model. (c) Use calculus and the model to find the time t when sales were increasing at the greatest rate. (d) Do you think the model would be accurate for predicting future sales? Explain

10 11 12 13
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Transcribed Image Text:10 11 12 13 t 8 9. 14 S 8.1 7.3 7.8 9.2 11.3 12.8 12.9
Expert Solution
Step 1

Given Information:

The data for the annual sales and the time is given. The value of time for 2008 is 8.

 

Step 2

(a)

The regression model is; S=at3+bt2+ct+d

The normal equations will be,

S=at3+bt2+ct+7d...(1)tS=at4+bt3+ct2+dt...(2)t2S=at5+bt4+ct3+dt2...(3)t3S=at6+bt5+ct4+dt3...(4)

The table given below shows the values of S,t,t2,t3,t4,t5,t6,tS, t2Sand t3S.

S.No. t S t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 tS

t2S

t3S
1 8 8.1 64 512 4096 32768 262144 64.8 518.4 4147.2
2 9 7.3 81 729 6561 59049 531441 65.7 591.3 5321.7
3 10 7.8 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 78 780 7800
4 11 9.2 121 1331 14641 161051 1771561 101.2 1113.2 12245.2
5 12 11.3 144 1728 20736 248832 2985984 135.6 1627.2 19526.4
6 13 12.8 169 2197 28561 371293 4826809 166.4 2163.2 28121.6
7 14 12.9 196 2744 38416 537824 7529536 180.6 2528.4 35397.6
Total t=77 S=69.4 t2=875 t3=10241 t4=123011 t5=1510817 t6=18907475 tS=792.3 t2S=9321.7 t3S=112559.7

Putting the values in the above equations.

69.4=10241a+875b+77c+7d...(5)792.3=123011a+10241b+875c+77d...(6)9321.7=1510817a+123011b+10241c+875d...(7)112559.7=18907475a+1510817b+123011c+10241d...(8)

Solving the above equations, the value of a,b,c, and d is;

a=-0.1167, b=3.9798, c=-43.356, and d=160.04

Thus, the regression model is, S=-0.1167t3+3.9798t2-43.356t+160.04.

Step 3

(b)

Using excel, the graph of the data and the model is given as,

Statistics homework question answer, step 3, image 1

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