1. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table: ecision s1 s2 s3 150 50 d1 200 200 d2 200 500 he probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the optimistic approach, what is the optimal decision and what is he value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to arrive at this ecision in the second. Question 6 options:

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
Publisher:NEWNAN
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1QTC
icon
Related questions
Question
1. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with
the following payoff table:
Decision s1 s2 s3
d1
d2
150 200 200
50
200
500
The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the optimistic approach, what is the optimal decision and what is
the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to arrive at this
decision in the second.
Question 6 options:
2. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three
states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table:
Decision s1 s2 s3
d1
d2
150 200 200
50 200 500
The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the conservative approach, what is the optimal decision and what is
the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to derive this
solution in the second.
Question 7 options:
8
3. Suppose a company must consider two decisions (d1 and d2) under two states of nature (s1 and s2). Suppose the
expected value functions for d1 and d2 are given as:
EV(d1) p(8) + (1-p)(6)
EV(d2) p(15) + (1-p)(3)
where p = P(s1) and 1-p = P(s2). In conducting sensitivity analysis, which of the following is correct?
Question 8 options:
d2 is the optimal decision as long as p > 0.30
d2 is the optimal decision as long as p > 0.05
d1 is the optimal decision as long as p > 0.30
d2 is never the optimal decision
Transcribed Image Text:1. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table: Decision s1 s2 s3 d1 d2 150 200 200 50 200 500 The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the optimistic approach, what is the optimal decision and what is the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to arrive at this decision in the second. Question 6 options: 2. Suppose a company can select among two decisions (d1 and d2) and face three states of nature (s1, s2 and s3) with the following payoff table: Decision s1 s2 s3 d1 d2 150 200 200 50 200 500 The probabilities of s1, s2, and s3 are unknown. Using the conservative approach, what is the optimal decision and what is the value of the payoff? Place the optimal decision in the first answer box and the maximum payoff used to derive this solution in the second. Question 7 options: 8 3. Suppose a company must consider two decisions (d1 and d2) under two states of nature (s1 and s2). Suppose the expected value functions for d1 and d2 are given as: EV(d1) p(8) + (1-p)(6) EV(d2) p(15) + (1-p)(3) where p = P(s1) and 1-p = P(s2). In conducting sensitivity analysis, which of the following is correct? Question 8 options: d2 is the optimal decision as long as p > 0.30 d2 is the optimal decision as long as p > 0.05 d1 is the optimal decision as long as p > 0.30 d2 is never the optimal decision
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Risk Aversion
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, economics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Economics
ISBN:
9780190931919
Author:
NEWNAN
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Principles of Economics (12th Edition)
Principles of Economics (12th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:
9780134078779
Author:
Karl E. Case, Ray C. Fair, Sharon E. Oster
Publisher:
PEARSON
Engineering Economy (17th Edition)
Engineering Economy (17th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:
9780134870069
Author:
William G. Sullivan, Elin M. Wicks, C. Patrick Koelling
Publisher:
PEARSON
Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)
Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)
Economics
ISBN:
9781305585126
Author:
N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Economics
ISBN:
9781337106665
Author:
Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-…
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-…
Economics
ISBN:
9781259290619
Author:
Michael Baye, Jeff Prince
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education