1. Corrosion of still reinforcing bars is the most important durability problem for reinforced concrete structures. Carbonation of cocrete results from a chemical reaction that lowers the pH value enough to to initiate corrosion. The table below shows a sample dependence of the strength in MPa (y) on the carbonation depth in mm (x) taken from a particular building.

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Previous data for reference:

 

(a) Hence, the fitted linear regression model is:  = 27.18 – 0.2976 x

For a carbonation depth of 25.0 mm, substitute x = 25 in the above equation.

 = 27.18 – 0.2976 * (25) = 19.74 MPa.

 

(b) The t-test statistic for the slope has P-value 2.01347 × 10^–6 or approximately 0.

Decision rule using P-value: Reject H0 at significance level α, if P-value ≤ α. Otherwise, fail to reject H0.

Since P-value (≈ 0) < α (= 0.01), reject H0.

Thus, the regression is significant.

 

(c) The F-test statistic for the analysis of variance has P-value 2.01347 × 10^–6 or approximately 0. Since P-value (≈ 0) < α (= 0.01), reject H0. Thus, the regression is significant.

(d) For a carbonation depth of 25.0 mm, substitute x = 25 in the above equation.

 = 27.18 – 0.2976 * (25) = 19.74 MPa.

From the regression output, the standard error is Se = 2.864.

t0.025,16 = 2.1199.

 

Thus, the 95% prediction interval for y when x = 25.0 mm is (13.4143, 26.06385).

It is given that the measured value of y when x = 25 is 12.2. Since, the value 12.2 does not fall in the prediction interval of y when x = 25, there is no sufficient evidence to conclude that the strength 12.2 MPa is not consistent with our model.

(e) The 95% confidence interval for y when x = 25 is obtained as (17.99005, 21.49783) from the calculation given below:

The predicted value of when = 35 is obtained as 16.76834 from the calculation given below:

Thus, the predicted value of when = 35 is 16.76834.

The 95% confidence interval for when = 35 is obtained as (15.32984, 18.20684) from the calculation given below:

(f)

From the residual plot, it is seen that none of the data points are far away from each other.

From the normal probability plot, it is seen that the data points are forming the straight line.

From these three plots it can be concluded that the data does not contain outliers.

Hence, it can be concluded that the model is adequate.

### Summary Output of Linear Regression Analysis

#### Regression Statistics:
- **Multiple R**: 0.874973816
- **R Square**: 0.765597179
- **Adjusted R Square**: 0.750927877
- **Standard Error**: 2.864026013
- **Observations**: 18

#### ANOVA Table:
The Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) is provided to assess the significance of the regression model.

| Source       | df | SS           | MS            | F           | Significance F     |
|--------------|----|--------------|---------------|-------------|--------------------|
| Regression   | 1  | 428.6154577  | 428.6154577   | 52.25332287 | 2.01347E-06        |
| Residual     | 16 | 131.24232    | 8.202645003   | -           | -                  |
| Total        | 17 | 559.8577778  | -             | -           | -                  |

#### Regression Coefficients:
The table below lists the estimated coefficients of the linear regression model along with their standard errors, t-statistics, and P-values.

| Coefficients       | Standard Error | t Stat       | P-value       | Lower 95%    | Upper 95%  | Lower 95.0%   | Upper 95.0%  |
|--------------------|----------------|--------------|---------------|--------------|------------|---------------|--------------|
| Intercept          | 27.18293605    | 1.651348135  | 16.46105716   | 1.88128E-11  | 23.68223439| 30.68363772   | 23.68223439  | 30.68363772  |
| x (slope)          | -0.297561228   | 0.041164172  | -7.228645991  | 2.01347E-06  | -0.384825374| -0.210297081| -0.384825374 | -0.210297081 |

### Interpretation of Results:
1. **Fitted Linear Regression Model**:
   The regression equation derived from the analysis is:
   \[
   \hat{y} = 27.
Transcribed Image Text:### Summary Output of Linear Regression Analysis #### Regression Statistics: - **Multiple R**: 0.874973816 - **R Square**: 0.765597179 - **Adjusted R Square**: 0.750927877 - **Standard Error**: 2.864026013 - **Observations**: 18 #### ANOVA Table: The Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) is provided to assess the significance of the regression model. | Source | df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | |--------------|----|--------------|---------------|-------------|--------------------| | Regression | 1 | 428.6154577 | 428.6154577 | 52.25332287 | 2.01347E-06 | | Residual | 16 | 131.24232 | 8.202645003 | - | - | | Total | 17 | 559.8577778 | - | - | - | #### Regression Coefficients: The table below lists the estimated coefficients of the linear regression model along with their standard errors, t-statistics, and P-values. | Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |--------------------|----------------|--------------|---------------|--------------|------------|---------------|--------------| | Intercept | 27.18293605 | 1.651348135 | 16.46105716 | 1.88128E-11 | 23.68223439| 30.68363772 | 23.68223439 | 30.68363772 | | x (slope) | -0.297561228 | 0.041164172 | -7.228645991 | 2.01347E-06 | -0.384825374| -0.210297081| -0.384825374 | -0.210297081 | ### Interpretation of Results: 1. **Fitted Linear Regression Model**: The regression equation derived from the analysis is: \[ \hat{y} = 27.
### Corrosion of Steel Reinforcing Bars

**Problem Statement:**
Corrosion of steel reinforcing bars is the most crucial durability issue for reinforced concrete structures. Carbonation of concrete results from a chemical reaction that lowers the pH value enough to initiate corrosion. The table below presents sample data showing the dependence of the strength (in MPa, \(y\)) on the carbonation depth (in mm, \(x\)) taken from a particular building.

#### Data Table:

| \(x\) (mm) | 8.0 | 15.0 | 16.5 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 27.5 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 35.0 |
|------------|-----|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|
| \(y\) (MPa)| 22.8| 27.2 | 23.7 | 17.1 | 21.5 | 18.6 | 16.1 | 23.4 | 13.4 |

| \(x\) (mm) | 38.0 | 40.0 | 45.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 55.0 | 55.0 | 59.0 | 65.0 |
|------------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|
| \(y\) (MPa)| 19.5 | 12.4 | 13.2 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 14.1 | 9.7  | 12.0 | 6.8  |

#### Questions:

a) **Fit a linear regression model to the data.** What is the estimated expected value of the strength if the carbonation depth is 25.0 mm?

b) **Do the data suggest that the regression is significant?** (Use the t-test). Assume \(\alpha = 0.01\). What is the corresponding P-value?

c) **Use the analysis of variance approach to test the significance of regression.** Find the P-value. Compare with problem b).

d) **Suppose we test one more sample with carbonation depth of 25.0 mm and find the strength to be 12.2 MPa.** Is it consistent with our model (using 95% confidence
Transcribed Image Text:### Corrosion of Steel Reinforcing Bars **Problem Statement:** Corrosion of steel reinforcing bars is the most crucial durability issue for reinforced concrete structures. Carbonation of concrete results from a chemical reaction that lowers the pH value enough to initiate corrosion. The table below presents sample data showing the dependence of the strength (in MPa, \(y\)) on the carbonation depth (in mm, \(x\)) taken from a particular building. #### Data Table: | \(x\) (mm) | 8.0 | 15.0 | 16.5 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 27.5 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 35.0 | |------------|-----|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------| | \(y\) (MPa)| 22.8| 27.2 | 23.7 | 17.1 | 21.5 | 18.6 | 16.1 | 23.4 | 13.4 | | \(x\) (mm) | 38.0 | 40.0 | 45.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 55.0 | 55.0 | 59.0 | 65.0 | |------------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------| | \(y\) (MPa)| 19.5 | 12.4 | 13.2 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 14.1 | 9.7 | 12.0 | 6.8 | #### Questions: a) **Fit a linear regression model to the data.** What is the estimated expected value of the strength if the carbonation depth is 25.0 mm? b) **Do the data suggest that the regression is significant?** (Use the t-test). Assume \(\alpha = 0.01\). What is the corresponding P-value? c) **Use the analysis of variance approach to test the significance of regression.** Find the P-value. Compare with problem b). d) **Suppose we test one more sample with carbonation depth of 25.0 mm and find the strength to be 12.2 MPa.** Is it consistent with our model (using 95% confidence
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