(1) Find the two-step transition matrix .18 .7 .12 P(2) = 1 .24 .42 .34 ... .

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### Transition Matrices for Markov Chains

#### (1) Two-Step Transition Matrix

The two-step transition matrix, \( P(2) \), is defined as follows:

\[
P(2) = 
\begin{bmatrix}
0.18 & 0.7 & 0.12 \\
0 & 1 & 0 \\
0.24 & 0.42 & 0.34 \\
\end{bmatrix}
\]

This matrix represents the probability of moving from one state to another in two steps. Each element \( p_{ij} \) represents the probability of transitioning from state \( i \) to state \( j \) in two steps.

#### (2) Three-Step Transition Matrix

The three-step transition matrix, \( P(3) \), is shown as a placeholder matrix:

\[
P(3) = 
\begin{bmatrix}
[ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\
[ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\
[ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\
\end{bmatrix}
\]

You need to calculate \( P(3) \) by multiplying the one-step transition matrix by itself three times.

#### (3) Four-Step Transition Matrix

The four-step transition matrix, \( P(4) \), is also shown as a placeholder matrix:

\[
P(4) = 
\begin{bmatrix}
[ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\
[ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\
[ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\
\end{bmatrix}
\]

This requires calculating by multiplying the one-step transition matrix by itself four times to determine the probability transitions over four steps.

In summary, the transition matrices provide a way to model different step transitions within a Markov chain, from a given state to another or the same state across multiple iterations, which is crucial in understanding long-term state behaviors in stochastic processes.
Transcribed Image Text:### Transition Matrices for Markov Chains #### (1) Two-Step Transition Matrix The two-step transition matrix, \( P(2) \), is defined as follows: \[ P(2) = \begin{bmatrix} 0.18 & 0.7 & 0.12 \\ 0 & 1 & 0 \\ 0.24 & 0.42 & 0.34 \\ \end{bmatrix} \] This matrix represents the probability of moving from one state to another in two steps. Each element \( p_{ij} \) represents the probability of transitioning from state \( i \) to state \( j \) in two steps. #### (2) Three-Step Transition Matrix The three-step transition matrix, \( P(3) \), is shown as a placeholder matrix: \[ P(3) = \begin{bmatrix} [ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\ [ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\ [ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\ \end{bmatrix} \] You need to calculate \( P(3) \) by multiplying the one-step transition matrix by itself three times. #### (3) Four-Step Transition Matrix The four-step transition matrix, \( P(4) \), is also shown as a placeholder matrix: \[ P(4) = \begin{bmatrix} [ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\ [ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\ [ ] & [ ] & [ ] \\ \end{bmatrix} \] This requires calculating by multiplying the one-step transition matrix by itself four times to determine the probability transitions over four steps. In summary, the transition matrices provide a way to model different step transitions within a Markov chain, from a given state to another or the same state across multiple iterations, which is crucial in understanding long-term state behaviors in stochastic processes.
(4) Using the transition matrices you computed above, find \( p_{22}(2) \), \( p_{22}(3) \), and \( p_{22}(4) \):

\[
p_{22}(2) = \boxed{\phantom{}}.
\]

\[
p_{22}(3) = \boxed{\phantom{}}.
\]

\[
p_{22}(4) = \boxed{\phantom{}}.
\]

(5) What do you think \( p_{22}(20) \) is?

\[
p_{22}(20) = \boxed{\phantom{}}.
\]
Transcribed Image Text:(4) Using the transition matrices you computed above, find \( p_{22}(2) \), \( p_{22}(3) \), and \( p_{22}(4) \): \[ p_{22}(2) = \boxed{\phantom{}}. \] \[ p_{22}(3) = \boxed{\phantom{}}. \] \[ p_{22}(4) = \boxed{\phantom{}}. \] (5) What do you think \( p_{22}(20) \) is? \[ p_{22}(20) = \boxed{\phantom{}}. \]
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