1) Determine the corresponding rate of cyclical unemployment in 2020 2) Determine the actual unemployment ??ut that would result in 2020 3) Use Okun’s law to determine the corresponding output gap in percentage terms for 2020.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Suppose the Phillips curve in Country A is estimated to be

                                                        ??=???−0.25(??−?∗?)πt=πte−0.25(ut−ut∗)(supplied in picture)

The natural rate of unemployment in the year 2020 equals 3%. Inflation in the year 2020 is expected to be around 1%. The Okun’s coefficient in Country A equals 2. The central bank of Country A is considering three possible monetary policy scenarios for the year 2020.

    Scenario 1: the central bank performs a monetary contraction, and the inflation rate becomes 0.5%.

    Scenario 2: the central bank performs a monetary expansion, and the inflation rate becomes 1.5%.

    Scenario 3: the central bank keeps monetary policy unchanged, and the inflation rate matches expected inflation and equals 1%.

For each of these policy scenarios, 1) Determine the corresponding rate of cyclical unemployment in 2020 2) Determine the actual unemployment ??ut that would result in 2020 3) Use Okun’s law to determine the corresponding output gap in percentage terms for 2020.

T, = n; – 0.25 (u, – u;)
Transcribed Image Text:T, = n; – 0.25 (u, – u;)
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