1) A form of transportation is to be provided between two cities that are 200 miles apart. The alternatives are highway (H), railway (R), or air transport (A); the last one meaning the construction of airports in both cities. Because of the relative merits and costs, the odds that a committee of planners will decide on R, H, or A are 1 to 2 to 3, only one these three means can be constructed. However, if the committee decide to build a railroad (R), the probability that it will be completed in one year is 50%; if it decide on a highway (H), the corresponding probability is 75%, and if it is decided on air travel, there is a probability of 90% (a) What is the probability that the two cities will have a means of transportation in one year? (b) If some transportation facility between the two cities is completed in one year, what is the probability that it will be air transportation? (c) If the committee decides in favor of land facilities, what is the probability that the final decision will be for a highway (H)?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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1) A form of transportation is to be provided between two cities that are 200 miles apart. The
alternatives are highway (H), railway (R), or air transport (A); the last one meaning the construction of
airports in both cities. Because of the relative merits and costs, the odds that a committee of planners
will decide on R, H, or A are 1 to 2 to 3, only one these three means can be constructed.
However, if the committee decide to build a railroad (R), the probability that it will be completed in one
year is 50%; if it decide on a highway (H), the corresponding probability is 75%, and if it is decided on air
travel, there is a probability of 90%
(a) What is the probability that the two cities will have a means of transportation in one year?
(b) If some transportation facility between the two cities is completed in one year, what is the
probability that it will be air transportation?
(c) If the committee decides in favor of land facilities, what is the probability that the final decision will
be for a highway (H)?
Transcribed Image Text:1) A form of transportation is to be provided between two cities that are 200 miles apart. The alternatives are highway (H), railway (R), or air transport (A); the last one meaning the construction of airports in both cities. Because of the relative merits and costs, the odds that a committee of planners will decide on R, H, or A are 1 to 2 to 3, only one these three means can be constructed. However, if the committee decide to build a railroad (R), the probability that it will be completed in one year is 50%; if it decide on a highway (H), the corresponding probability is 75%, and if it is decided on air travel, there is a probability of 90% (a) What is the probability that the two cities will have a means of transportation in one year? (b) If some transportation facility between the two cities is completed in one year, what is the probability that it will be air transportation? (c) If the committee decides in favor of land facilities, what is the probability that the final decision will be for a highway (H)?
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