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University of New South Wales *

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1362

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Philosophy

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Dec 6, 2023

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Example bank: Fred ate the cookies, because Mary says she saw him eat them, and also because he has crumbs all over his shirt! 1. Mary says she saw Fred eat the cookies 2. Fred has crumbs all over his shirt 3. Fred ate the cookies How can Bob pass the exam, if he does not study? But I doubt he will study. So, Bob will not pass the exam. Rhetorical question + expression of doubt imply hidden premises 1. Bob will pass the exam only if he studies 2. Bob will not study 3. Bob will not pass the exam Social welfare does not help anyone. Giving money to people who do not work does not help anyone, and this is what social welfare is. 1. Giving money to people who do not work does not help anyone 2. Social welfare is giving money to people who do not work 3. Social welfare does not help anyone Your brother is struggling with his maths homework. So, you must give him a hand. 1. Your brother is struggling with his maths homework 2. ∴ You must give him a hand If God did not want humans to sin, he could easily make sure that we do not. It follows that God wants us to sin. 1. If God did not want humans to sin, he could easily make sure that we do not 2. ∴ God wants us to sin As he apologised, you should forgive him. 1. He apologised 2. ∴ You should forgive him “Any law that degrades human personality is unjust. All segregation statutes are unjust because segregation damages the soul and degrades the personality.” It is an argument, and the conclusion is "all segregation statutes are unjust". ‘Because’ is an argument marker If Bob does not study he will fail his exam, and he will not study. Gives reasons why bob will fail. Conclusion “Bob will fail his exam” is omitted
Greg was struggling with his maths homework. That’s why I gave him a hand. Not an argument, this is an explanation (WHY is not asked) You should vote for party X. Party X will cut taxes, and therefore party X is better for economic growth Every event has a cause, and the beginning of the universe was an event that took place some 15 billion years ago. But what, if not an act of God, could be the cause of the beginning of the universe? An argument is valid just in case it is impossible for its premises to be true while its conclusion is false. True Suppose that Fred gives you an argument for the conclusion that eating meat is morally impermissible , and Mary an argument for the conclusion that eating meat is morally permissible . Which of the following combinations is impossible ? Both arguments are sound It is possible for a complex argument to be valid, even if one or more of its sub- arguments are not True It is possible for a complex argument to be invalid, even if all of its sub-arguments are valid. False Is the following argument valid or invalid? If Bob studied, he passed his exam. Bob passed his exam. ∴Bob studied. Therefore, you should vote for party X Party X is better for economic growth Party X will cut taxes The cause of the beginning of the universe was an act of God Every event has a cause the beginning of the universe was an event that took place some 15 billion years ago
Invalid Is the following argument valid or not? If Bob studied, then he passed the exam. Bob did not pass the exam. ∴Bob did not study. Valid Is the following argument valid or invalid? Either Raji or Mary will come to the party. Raji will not come to the party. ∴Mary will come to the party. Valid Is the following argument valid or invalid? If the moon is made of blue cheese, then it is edible. The moon is made of blue cheese. ∴The moon is edible. Valid Is the following argument valid or invalid? Logicians are the most interesting people. ∴Logicians are the most interesting people. Valid Is the following argument valid or invalid? If a really supremely powerful and supremely good God existed, then he would not allow innocent people to suffer. But innocent people do suffer. So, a supremely powerful and good God does not exist Valid Is the following argument valid or invalid? Either the maid or the butler committed the murder, unless someone else had access to the house during the night. No one else had access to the house during the night, so either the maid or the butler committed the murder. Moreover, the maid had no motive to commit the murder. So, the butler did it. Invalid Is the following argument valid or invalid? Birds have wings and butterflies have wings. So, butterflies are birds. Invalid Is the following argument valid or invalid? Since Melbourne is south of Canberra and Canberra is south of Sydney, Melbourne is south of Sydney. Valid – property of relation = ‘transitivity’ in logic
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Is the following argument valid or invalid? If God did not want humans to sin, he could easily make sure that we do not. It follows that God wants us to sin. Invalid All cats are mammals. Tibbles is a mammal. So, Tibbles is a cat. This argument is of the form: 1. All As are Bs 2. x is a B 3. ∴x is an A No reason to think that the only way for something to be a B is for it to be an A. Cannot be fixed by supplying hidden premises. The premise "Tibbles is a cat" would make the argument valid The correct answer is: The argument is not valid as stated. There is no reasonable hidden premise that would make this argument valid. If Bob studies, he will pass the exam. But Bob will not study. So, Bob will not pass his exam This argument is not valid as stated, because we are not told that Bob will pass only if he studies. The hidden premise "Bob will not pass the exam unless he studies" would make it valid, and it is reasonable to assume. Of course Raji will pass her exam, she has studied really hard! 1. This argument is not valid as stated. It is reasonable to take the premise “if Raji studied hard, then she will pass the exam” to be a hidden premise, and that would make the argument valid. If A then B A ∴B 2. This argument is not valid as stated. It is reasonable to take the premise “everyone who studies hard passes” to be a hidden premise, and that would make the argument valid. All F are G a is F ∴a is G Platypuses are not mammals, because they lay eggs. No F is G x is G ∴x is not F This argument is not valid as stated. The premise that no mammals lay eggs would make the argument valid, and, although it is false, perhaps the reasoner does not know that it is Platypuses are not mammals, because they lay eggs. In polling places all over the country, our party’s representatives asked departing voters who they had just voted for. Most voters said they voted for our party, so we should win the election.
This argument is not strong, because the sample may not be representative. I put a kiwi fruit in a tub of water, and it floated. To confirm, I did the same with another one, and it floated too. So, kiwi fruits float in water. This argument is strong, given the subject matter. My friend got COVID-19, and treated it with zinc supplements. She recovered in a few days. Therefore, zinc supplements are effective against COVID-19. This is a weak argument. Attempt to ‘inference to the best explanation’ but doesn’t consider any alternative explanations of the evidence My house just started shaking. It must be an earthquake! This argument is strong: an earthquake would explain the evidence, and there are no obvious alternatives on offer. I know that WestConnex is digging a tunnel near my house. My house just started shaking. It must be an earthquake! This argument is weak, because vibration from the tunnelling is a more likely explanation than an earthquake. Consider the following exchange: Mary: “This table is mostly empty space. It is made up of atoms, and atoms consist of tiny sub-atomic particles, which orbit eachoth3er at huge distances (relative to their own size). Fred: “This can’t be right: if it were true, then the computer would fall right through the table, and it does not” Is Fred’s objection successful? No Fred’s conclusion is an absurdity. Conclusion does not follow on from Mary’s claim. In mathematics, a “set” is a collection of distinct objects, and is an object in its own right. So, sets can be members of other sets. Bertrand reasons as follows: “Suppose that there is a set, S, that contains all sets that do not contain themselves. Then, does S contain itself? If it does, then it should not. And if it does not, then it should. This is absurd. So, there can be no set that contains all sets that do not contain themselves. Is Bertrand’s reasoning successful? Yes Which of the following statements are false? Select all that apply 1. Very few of our ordinary concepts are vague 2. Slippery slope arguments are good arguments 3. Even if there is no sharp line between cases where a concept P (sych as “bald”, or “is a heap”) applies and cases where it does not, there can still be cases where P definitely applies and P definitely does not apply
4. Slippery slope argments exploit vagueness to create an impression of validity 5. If there is no sharp line between cases where a concept P (such as “bald”, or “is a heap”) applies, then we must either apply the concept to everything, or refrain from applying it to anything. Consider the following argument. Is it successful? Human beings are conscious. Moreover, this has to do with the fact that they possess an enormously complex brain and nervous system. But, a slightly simpler brain and nervous system (such as that found in chimpanzees, for example) would also support consciousness. More generally, if an organism O is conscious, then another organism with a nervous system just slightly simpler than O’s will also be conscious. So, since we can move by small decreases of nervous system complexity from human beings all the way down to earthworms, earthworms are conscious. Slippery slope argument - unsuccessful Consider the following argument. Is it successful? If we allow cloned human organs to be grown in laboratories for transplantation, then soon we will find ourselves allowing the cloning of entire human beings, and before long creating a genetically designed “master race”. We should not go down that road. Slippery slope argument – unsuccessful Joe will play in the second round of the tournament only if kayla does 1. (J ↄ K) 2. (J v K) & ~(J& ~K) 3. (K&J) 4. (K ↄ J) Mary's not playing in the second round of the tournament is a necessary condition for Kayla to play Translation: if mary does not play, kayla does HOWEVER; words 'necessary condition' mean it translates to: If kayla plays, it must be that Mary does not 1. ~M ↄ K 2. K ≡ ~M 3. ~(M v K) 4. K ↄ ~M
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1. What is the probability of rolling a 6 in one throw of a fair six-sided die? a. 1/6 2. What is the probability of not rolling a 6? a. 5/6 3. Rolling the die twice, what is the probability of a 6 both times? a. A = 6 first time, B = 6 second time b. P(A&B) = P(A) x P(B) c. 1/6 x 1/6 = 1/36 4. If you roll a fair six-sided die twice, what is the probability that it will come up at a 6 at least once? (there's two ways to calculate this) P (A v B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A & B) P (at least one 6 in two throws) = 1 - P(no 6 in two throws) 5/6 x 5/6 = 25/36 P(at least one 6 in two throws) = 1 - 25/36 = 11/36 5. If your roll a fair six-sided die twice, what's the probability a 6 will come up exactly once? a. 11/36 of at least once b. 11/36 - 1/36 = 10/36 c. P(6 on exactly one roll) = P(6 on first roll v 6 on second roll) - P(6 on first roll & 6 on second roll)
1. If you roll a fair six-sided die six times, what is the probability that it will come up 6 at least once? (same question as number 4) a. 5/6 x 5/6 x 5/5 … 5/6 to the power of 6 i. (5/6)^6 b. P(of not getting a 6 at all) = 0.33 c. 1-0.33 = 0.67 or 2/3 2. Your school is running a lottery with 100 tickets and 1 winner. Suppose you buy 2 tickets in the lottery. What is the probability that one of your tickets is a winner? P(ticket 1 is a winner v ticket 2 is a winner) = P(ticket 1 is a winner) + P(ticket 2 is a winner) 1/100 + 1/100 = 2/100 OR 1/50 3. Two of your local schools run lotteries, with exactly 100 tickets each, and only one winner. Suppose you buy one ticket in each lottery. What is your probability of having at least one winning ticket? Outcomes are not mutually exclusive (as you could win both lotteries). Formula for non-exclusive disjunctions: P(ticket 1 is a winner v ticket 2 is a winner) = P(ticket 1 is a winner) + P(ticket 2 is a winner) - P(ticket 1 is a winner & ticket 2 is a winner) Moreover, since we know both lotteries are independent: P(ticket 1 is a winner & ticket 2 is a winner) = P(ticket 1 is a winner) * P(ticket 2 is a winner) = 1/10,000 So: P(ticket 1 is a winner v ticket 2 is a winner) = 1/100 + 1/100 - 1/10,000 = 199/10,000 To use a negation it is: negation of winning no tickets P(winning at least one ticket) = 1 - P(winning no tickets) P(winning at least one ticket) = 1 - P(ticket 1 is not a winner & ticket 2 is not a winner) P(winning at least one ticket) = 1 - (99/100 * 99/100) P(winning at least one ticket) = 199/10,000 OR 0.0199 4. Two of your local schools run lotteries, with exactly 100 tickets and only one winner each. Suppose you buy one ticket in each lottery. What is your proability of having two winning tickets? P(ticket 1 is a winner & ticket 2 is a winner) = P(ticket 1 is a winner) * P(ticket 2 is a winner) P(ticket 1 is a winner & ticket 2 is a winner) = 1/100 * 1/100 = 1/10,000
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