Exam 4 5 MAT108 Online Summer 2022
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MAT108 Online, Summer 22
Name:______Taylor Henderson_____
Exam 4 & 5: Probability & Statistics
Directions: There are 36 questions worth 5 points each, and two questions worth 10 points each. Proper work must be shown to receive any credit.
1. In a large lecture hall there are 325 students of which 160 are male and 165 are female. If one
student is selected at random, determine the empirical probability the individual selected is male.
160/325 = .4923 = 49.23%
1._____49.23%_______
2. Mr. Peters’ grade distribution over the past 3 years of a course in college algebra is shown in the chart below. If Sue plans to take college algebra with Mr. Peters, determine the empirical probability that she receives a B. Write your answer as a simplified fraction.
82+30+24+14+10=160 30/160=.1875 =18.75%
2. 18.75%_________
Grade
Number
A
82
B
30
C
24
D
14
F
10
3. A card is selected from a standard deck. Find the probability of selecting:
a) a king.
4/52= .0769 = 7.69%
3a.____7.69%____
b) a number greater than 10.
3b._____30.77%_____
jack , queen, king, ace x 4 suits= 16
16/52 =.30769 = 30.77%
4. The table shows the type and manufacturer or vehicles at a car dealership. If one person selects a vehicle at random, determine the probability that the person selects an SUV.
49/140 = .35 = 35%
4.____35%________
R
R
G
G
R
B
Domestic
Foreign
Total
Car
60
31
91
SUV
32
17
49
Total
92
48
140
5. If the probability that an event occurs is 2
7
, then what is the probability that the event does not occur?
5._____71.43%____
5/7 = .7143 = 71.43%
6. a) The sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes of an experiment is _1__
b) Every probability is a number between ____0__ and ___1___, inclusive.
7. Determine the odds against rolling a 5 on one roll of a die.
7.______16.67%____
1/6 = .1667 = 16.67%
8. A box contains 6 balls: 3 red, 2 green, and 1 blue. One ball is selected at random. Determine
the odds in favor of selecting a green ball.
8._____33.33%______
2/6 = .3333 = 33.33%
9. The odds against Robin being admitted to the college of her choice are 9:2. Determine the probability that Robin is admitted.
7/9 = .7778 = 77.78%
9.____77.78%_____
0. An investor is considering purchasing a certain stock. After considerable research, the investor determines that there is a 70% chance of making $10,000, a 10% chance of breaking even, and a 20% chance of losing $7500. Determine the expectation of the purchase.
.7 x 10,00 +.1 x 0 + .2 x (-7,500)= 5500 10.___$5500__________
11. Assume a person spins the pointer and is awarded the amount indicated by the pointer. If it costs $5 to play the game, determine the expectation of a person who plays the game.
11._____$1______
(.5 x $2-5) + (.5 x $10-5) =1
12. The expected value when you purchase a lottery ticket is $2.00 and the cost of the ticket is $5.00. Determine the fair price of the lottery ticket.
$2 + $5 = $7
12._____$7 ______
13. A person tosses a coin and then picks a card from a standard deck of cards. Use the counting principle to determine the number of points in the sample space.
52 – cards in deck 2- sides of a coin 52 x 2 = 104 13.__104 points___
$10
$2
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14. A dinner special consists of a soup, an entrée, and a dessert. The choices are listed. Construct a tree diagram and list the sample space.
Soup
Entrée
Dessert
Vegetable
Pork Chops
Apple Pie
French Onion
Ravioli
Ice Cream
Chocolate Cake
15. A coin is tossed and a die is rolled. Assume each event is equally likely to occur.
Determine the probability of getting
V PC A
V PC I
V PC C
V R A V R I V R C
FO PC A FO PC I FO PC C
FO R A FO R I FO R C SAMPLE SPACE IS 12
a) a head on the coin and an odd number on the die.
15a.____25%________
3/12 = .25 = 25%
b) a tail and a 5.
1/12 = .08 = 8%
15b._____8%_______
16. One card is selected from a standard deck of playing cards. Let Q = a queen is selected. Let J = a jack is selected.
a) Are these events mutually exclusive?__YES_______
b) Explain. They are mutually exclusive because it is impossible for both to be picked simultaneously when only one card is being selected.
17. A die is rolled one time. Determine the probability of rolling an even number or a number less than 4.
17.___83% ________
Even numbers: 2,4,6
Less than4: 3,2,1
Both categories include 2. For a total of 5/6 chance = .83 = 83%
18. One card is selected from a standard deck of playing cards. Determine the probability of selecting a 10 or an ace.
18.______15.4%_____
4 tens + 4 aces = 8 cards total 8/25 = .1538 = 15.4%
19. A box contains 3 red, 2 green, and 1 blue ball. Two balls are selected at random, with replacement
, determine the probability that both are blue.
R
R
G
G
R
B
R
R
G
G
R
B
19.___5.6%________
20. A box contains 3 red, 2 green, and 1 blue ball. Two balls are selected at random, without replacement
, determine the probability of selecting two red balls.
20.___90%________
21. A subset of a population, used by a statistician to make predictions concerning a population, is called a(n) _Sample data______.
36 possible outcomes for both draws.
1/36 + 1/36 = 2/36 = .056 = 5.6%
Chance of red being picked on first draw is 3/6 = .5 = 50%
Chance of red being picked on the second draw is 2/5 = .4 = 40%
50% + 40% = 90%
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22. A sample that is a small replica of the entire population is called a(n) ___random______ sample.
23. Circle the sampling technique used.
Every 100
th
two-liter bottle of Coca-Cola coming off an assembly line is checked to see how many ounces of soda it contains.
a. random b. systematic c. cluster d. stratified e. convenience
24. Read the statement and explain what possible misuse or misinterpretation may exist.
More women than men are involved in automobile accidents. Therefore, women are worse drivers.
The was misinterpreted for several reasons. The number of those in an accident compared to the total number of drivers is not taken into account. It does not address the type of accidents and list whose fault the accidents were, just that they were in an accident.
25. Use the frequency polygon, concerning response time for
selected emergency calls, to answer the following questions:
a) The number of calls that were responded to in 10 minutes is
___4__.
b) The total number of calls in the survey is _40__.
26. Use the following data, which represent the ages of the 44 U.S. presidents at their first inauguration (as of 2011), to construct a frequency distribution with a first class of 42-47.
57
57
49
52
50
42
54
55
64
61
61
64
56
47
51
51
56
46
57
54
50
46
55
56
60
61
54
57
68
48
54
55
55
62
52
47
58
51
65
49
54
51
43
69
27. Construct a frequency polygon
for the following frequency distribution.
AGE FREQUENCY
42-47: 6
48-53: 11
54-59: 17
60-65: 8
66-71: 2
Starting Salaries of Social Workers
Salaries (thousands of dollars)
Number of Social Workers
27
2
28
1
29
4
30
6
31
3
28. Use a stem-and-leaf plot to display the data. The data represent the number of miles joggers in a fitness club jogged per week. For single digit data, use a stem of 0.
12
15
4
7
12
25
21
33
18
6
8
27
40
22
19
13
23
34
17
16
29. Given the following set of data: 76, 82, 94, 55, 100, 52, 96. Round to the nearest hundredth.
Find the:
a) mean
76+82+94+55+100+52+96= 555 9a.____79.29______
555/7= 79.29
b) median
52, 55, 76, 82, 94, 96, 100
9b.____82_____
c) mode
9c.______0______
d) midrange 52+100=152 152/2= 76
9d._____76______
STEM
LEAF
0
4, 7, 6, 8 1
2, 5, 2, 8, 9, 3, 7, 6
2
5, 1, 7, 2, 3
3
3, 4
4
0
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30. The prices per gallon of the 21 top-rated interior paints follows: $18
19
19
19
20
20
21
21
22
22
23
23
25
27
30
33
35
35
35
58
61
30a. Q
2
=___23___
30b. Q
1
=__20_____
30c. Q
3
=___34____
31. Determine the range and standard deviation of this set of data. Round to the nearest hundredth.
4
8
9
11
13
15
31. range = ______11______
standard deviation = 3.9
32. Sketch a skewed left distribution. Use the
line below to help.
___________________________
36+4+1+1+9+25/6-1 = 15.2
15.2 = 3.90
X
X-MEAN
(X-MEAN) squared
4
4-10= -6
36
8
8-10= -2
4
9
9-10= -1
1
11
11-10=1
1
13
13-10=3
9
15
15-10 =5
25
33. Sketch and label the normal curve with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15. Label the mean and the three standard deviations above and below the mean.
34. According to the empirical rule, in a normal distribution, approximately ____68___% of the data lie within plus or minus 1
standard deviations of the mean. If there are 500 pieces of data then approximately ___340__ pieces of data lie with plus or minus 1
standard deviations of the mean.
.68 x 500 = 340
35. Intelligence quotients (IQ scores) are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard
deviation of 15. Find the z-score for each of the following IQ scores. Round to the nearest hundredth.
a) 142
15a.______2.8______
142-100 = 42 42/ 15 = 2.8
b) 73
15b.____-1.8_____
73-100= -27 -27 / 15 = -1.8
36. Use the standard normal table to find the shaded area under the normal curve.
Write your answer in decimal form.
a)
16a.___.0162______
b)
16b.___.9265_______
1-.0735=.9265
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37. Use the internet to find an example/article where someone uses odds or a probability. This should be easy to find. Write a short paragraph explaining what you found and what it means. Your audience is someone who walks around saying “I hate math. I can’t do math.” You can also
copy/paste/insert the example you find here as well so I know what you are talking about.
(10 points)
The Insurance Information Institute wrote an article called Facts + Statistics: Motorcycle Crashes. The information outlined in this article is from 2020. The source of their statistics comes from the U.S. Department of Transportation, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. In 2020 out of every 100,000 registered vehicles in the U.S. there were 67.08 motorcycle fatalities, 6.90 light truck fatalities and 10.79 passenger car fatalities. This tells us that you are over 6 times more likely to be killed on a motorcycle than you are in a passenger car. Also you are 9.72 times more likely to die on a motor cycle than in a truck. Additionally, the article outlines that your highest chance of getting into a fatal accident on a motorcycle is 3pm-6pm on a weekday and 6pm-9pm on a weekend.
38. Use the internet to find an example/article where someone misuses statistics. This can be to try to sell a product, push an agenda, or otherwise influence opinion. Write a short paragraph explaining how statistic(s) is being used to manipulate. You can also copy/paste/insert the misuse
you find here as well so I know what you are talking about. (10 points)
In 2007 Colgate Toothpaste ran an advertisement claiming that “More than 80% of dentists recommended Colgate.” And “Colgate is used and recommended by most dentists.” This
information was misleading because it implied that the dentist recommended Colgate over any other brand. In reality, in the survey the dentists and hygienists were asked for multiple product recommendations, not just one product. Therefore, it is noted that Colgate conveniently left out the information that other products were recommended equally as often.
https://marketinglaw.osborneclarke.com/retailing/colgates-80-of-dentists-recommend-claim-
under-fire/
Statistics – Formulas and Standard Normal Table (z-table)
¯
x
=
Σx
n
Range = highest value –
lowest value
s
=
√
Σ
(
x
−¯
x
)
2
n
−
1
The Empirical Rule
Approximately 68% of all
the data lie within one
standard deviation of the
mean (in both directions).
Approximately 95% of all
the data lie within two
standard deviations of the
mean (in both directions).
Approximately 99.7% of
all the data lie within three
standard deviations of the
mean (in both directions).
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