Homework 13-1

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Georgia Institute Of Technology *

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6501

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Industrial Engineering

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Dec 6, 2023

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pdf

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ISYE-6501 Homework #13 1 Question 19.1 Before discussing the models we have to consider the relevant data for the problem. The following is a list of attributes that can help make the decision: Shelf Space data Minimum shelf space required per product Maximum shelf space required per product Shelf space available Total daily sales Daily profit amount Inventory Product History Sales data Store data The first thing we need to consider is this removal of seasonal items (Christmas items, Halloween items etc) to ensure that only the products that are available year round are counted. 1.1 Step 1 - Remove Seasonal Data Given: { Sales data, Inventory, Product History } Use: { Exponential Smoothing } To: { To remove variance and seasonality from the data } Now that we have data without variance and seasonality, we can use that to determine correlated products. 1.2 Step 2 - Find correlated items Given: { Exponentially Smoothed Data, Product History } Use: { K Means Clustering } To: { To determine correlated products by identifying clusters of high value paired items. } Using the cluster data that we’ve found in the previous step, we can use a community finding model to find modularity between the correlated complementary products, this ensures we include all correlated products together, and ensure we have the best communities for each. 1
1.3 Step 3 - Determine product communities and best shelf correlations) Given: { Clustered data from previous step, Shelf space data } Use: { Louvain Algorithm } To { Determine product and complementary product and their shelf correlation. } Finally, using the updated communities we need to run simulations to determine the best shelves for the items to maximize sales. 1.4 Step 4 - Optimization model Given: { Up-to-date cluster data, Sales data, Shelf data, Store data } Use: { Discrete Stochastic Simulation model } To { Determine optimum model with maximum sales of products and their complementary counterparts. } To ensure the model is a good one, we need to roll out the solution to a small subset of pilot stores with differing constraints; namely the store size, the shelf space, and product selection. We can determine a threshold for the sales that need to be met in order to consider the model acceptable. We can use the data from all the pilot stores, and compare to see how the sales went when compared to the previous shelving data. If a positive change is observed we can start rolling out the model to more stores. Furthermore, if we see an increase in sales significantly in stores that had less sales overall, we can safely assume that the effect of putting complementary items on shelves together does exist. Furthermore, we can check the sales and profits from different stores with different shelf space to see if increases were similar across the board, this again would validate the hypothesis and confirm that the effects of product placement on shelves is real. Realistically, I think that this would be the case and that customers would be more likely to purchase complementary and correlated items if they are near the item they want. Sales and profits can be safely expected to grow. Alternatively, we could also use a Multi Armed Bandit approach rather than an Optimization approach to generate more models, and implement them in stores faster. The Multi Armed Bandit approach would gather data faster however, it could lead to lower sales overall while the best model is being determined. Due to this reason I chose the Optimization model even though it takes longer to determine a feasible solution based on the number of replications. 2
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