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Journal: Risk and Return
Tyesha Williams
Southern New Hampshire University
FIN
320
Suleman Braimah
February 17, 2024
2
Investing involves some level of risk and some key risks are linked to investments such as market risk, inflation risk, and liquidity risk. Market risk also identified as systematic risk or non-diversifiable risk impacts the whole market or economy collectively. This risk is unpredictable and “cannot be eliminated through diversification” (Titman, et al., 2018). Inflation,
natural disasters, political instability, and interest rate changes are just a few systematic risks. In addition, market risk involves the “losses on financial investments caused by adverse price movements” (Geobers, et al., 2023). For example, adjustments in equity prices or commodity prices, interest rate changes, or foreign exchange fluctuations in market risk. Inflation risk is also
identified as purchasing power risk, which challenges an investment’s returns over time. Lastly, liquidity risk is the “risk of being unable to buy or sell assets in a given size over a given period without adversely affecting the price of the asset” (Risk Library, 2024). Many events can impact stock prices for a company such as demand and supply, and company news. Stock price is determined by demand and supply therefore, if demand is high, the
price will increase and if supply is high, the price will decrease. Company news can negatively and positively impact stock prices. For example, one of Tesla’s founders, specifically Elon Musk
has been in the news a lot in a negative way, therefore, causing the stock price for Tesla to be on a downtrend. In addition, company news for companies like Chipotle has had a positive impact on its stock due to the company collaborating with Strava who is a “leading digital community for active people with more than 120 million athletes, to encourage and reward healthy habits this year” (Chipotle, 2024). Company news on growth opportunities and increases in revenue impacts stock prices.
3
The relationship between risk and return is a fundamental theory in finance and investment. It is grounded on the notion that the prospective return on an investment grows with a growth in risk. Therefore, it is necessary to understand what risk and return are as well as the relationship between the two to fully grasp how the relationship impacts stock investment decisions. Risk implies the “possibility that the actual return on an investment may be different from the expected return and it incorporates the potential for losing some or all of the original investment” (Economic Times, 2024). On the other hand, return is the “gain or loss made on an investment, and it is generally communicated as a percentage of the investment's initial cost” (Economic Times, 2024). Higher risk, higher potential return, and lower risk and lower potential return summarize the relationship between risk and return. Investments with a higher level of risk usually pose a higher potential return to offset the increased risk. This is due to investors requiring a higher return to offset acquiring more risk. On the contrary, investments with a lower level of risk normally offer a lower potential return and this is based on the potential for loss is less, and as a result, investors are prepared to accept a lower return. The risk and return relationship has a substantial effect on stock investment decisions. Risk tolerance, investment horizon, and diversification all play a role in this impact. With risk tolerance, investors with a high-risk tolerance may be more likely to invest in stocks with a higher potential return, despite the increased risk (Wells Fargo). On the contrary, investors with a low-risk tolerance might choose stocks with lower risk and thus, lower returns. The duration an investor intends to retain a
stock can also impact their risk-return tradeoff. Investors who are in it for the long term could be more inclined to accept higher risk for potentially higher returns, while short-term investors may prefer lower-risk stocks (Western & Southern Financial Group, 2023). Furthermore, with diversification, investors manage the risk-return tradeoff which implies distributing investments
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among a variety of stocks to cut risk. Overall, understanding the relationship between risk and returns assists investors in choosing investments that support their risk tolerance and investment goals.
In my personal and professional life, I do not make stock-investment decisions as I have no interest in investing in stock. However, if I did decide to invest in stock one of the most important things I would do before making any decisions is to educate myself on everything on the specific investment. It is important to educate myself on the risks associated with investing, determine my investment objectives, establish how much I can afford to invest, research the state
of the economy, understand the business, and diversification. Overall, all of these facets are significantly important in making stock investment decisions.
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References
Diversifying buy-side risk frameworks
. Risk Library. (2024, January 4). https://www.risklibrary.net/risk-management/diversifying-buy-side-risk-frameworks-
31831
Geboers, H., Depaire, B., & Straetmans, S. (2023, December 5). Peak-to-valley drawdowns: Insights Into Extreme Path-dependent market risk - Journal of Risk
. Risk.net. https://www.risk.net/journal-of-risk/7958269/peak-to-valley-drawdowns-insights-into-
extreme-path-dependent-market-risk
Investment objective and investment risk tolerance: Wells Fargo Advisors
. Investment Objective and Investment Risk Tolerance | Wells Fargo Advisors. (n.d.). https://www.wellsfargoadvisors.com/disclosures/guide-to-investing/investment-risk-
tolerance.htm#:~:text=The%20higher%20your%20risk%20tolerance,help%20you
%20make%20informed%20decisions
.
Long-term investments vs. short-term investments
. Western & Southern Financial Group. (2023, September 20). https://www.westernsouthern.com/investments/long-term-investments-vs-
short-term-investments#:~:text=Long%2Dterm%20investors%20can
%20potentially,strategies%20than%20short%2Dterm%20goals
.
What is investment risk? definition of investment risk, investment risk meaning
. The Economic Times. (2024, February 16). https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/definition/investment-
risk
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What is risk? Although many risks (e.g., career risk, risk of how many children to have and whether they will succeed morally and academically, etc.) in the real world are not tradable, some risks (e.g., stock price risk, credit risk, interest rate risk, currency exchange rate risk, risks that insurance policies cover, etc.) are actively traded in the market. What determine the equilibrium price of tradable risks?
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7.1 Question 1
Which of the following statements about risk-averse investors is most accurate? A risk averse
investor:
A seeks out the investment with minimum risk, while return is not a major consideration.
B will take additional investment risk if sufficiently compensated for this risk.
C avoids participating in global equity markets.
7.2 Question 2
Evidence of risk aversion is best illustrated by a risk-return relationship that is:
A negative.
B neutral.
C positive.
7.3 Question 3
With respect to an investor's utility function expressed as U(F) = E\F] – }¬V« (F), which of
the following values for the measure of risk aversion has the least amount of risk aversion?
A -4.
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QUESTION 15
Which of the following statements about Markovitz's portfolio theory is not correct?
O A. Portfolio theory ignores unsystematic risk
B. Portfolio theory can accommodate investors with different attitudes to risk
O. Portfolio theory accommodates the existence of risk free assets
OD. Portfolio theory preceded Sharpe's capital asset pricing model
O E. Portfolio theory is more appropriate for large institutional investors rather than for private investors
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Exposure to systematic or market risk can be reduced by?
A.
adding low or negative beta stocks to the portfolio.
B.
investing in a variety of economic sectors.
C.
cannot be reduced or avoided.
D.
diversifying internationally.
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Q1)VaR can be defined as the minimal loss of a financial position during a given time period for a given probability.
true or fslse
Q2 Stocks tend to move together if they are affected by ________.
common economic events
events unrelated to the economy
idiosyncratic shocks
unsystematic risk
Q3)Beta can be viewed as a measure of systematic risk
TRUE OR FASE
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Question 28
The type of the risk that can be eliminated by diversification is called
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(B) interest rate risk.
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D unique risk.
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All parts areunder one question and therefore can be answered.
7. Portfolio expected return and risk
A collection of financial assets and securities is referred to as a portfolio. Most individuals and institutions invest in a portfolio, making portfolio risk analysis an integral part of the field of finance. Just like stand-alone assets and securities, portfolios are also exposed to risk. Portfolio risk refers to the possibility that an investment portfolio will not generate the investor’s expected rate of return.
Analyzing portfolio risk and return involves the understanding of expected returns from a portfolio. Consider the following case:
Andre is an amateur investor who holds a small portfolio consisting of only four stocks. The stock holdings in his portfolio are shown in the following table:
Stock
Percentage of Portfolio
Expected Return
Standard Deviation
Artemis Inc.
20%
6.00%
25.00%
Babish & Co.
30%
14.00%
29.00%
Cornell Industries
35%
11.00%…
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What is a good response to....
A hedge is something an investor can use to mitigate risk while pursuing many different types of investments. There are also differing types of hedges.
A cash flow hedge is designed to manage the risk of variability in future cash flows related to forecasted transactions. It stabilizes expected cash flows by using financial instruments to lock in rates or prices (Hoyle, 2024, p. 337). An example out of our textbook involves a company expecting to purchase raw materials in the future entering into a forward contract to lock in the current exchange rate, reducing the risk of fluctuations in currency rates (Hoyle, 2024, p. 340).
A fair value hedge aims to offset the risk of changes in the fair value of an existing asset or liability due to market fluctuations. This hedge stabilizes the value of recognized items on the balance sheet (Hoyle, 2024, p. 313). A company holding a fixed-rate bond may use an interest rate swap to hedge against the risk of…
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4.32 Investment risk analysis. The risk of a portfolio of financial
assets is sometimes called investment risk. In general, in-
vestment risk is typically measured by computing the vari-
ance or standard deviation of the probability distribution
that describes the decision maker's potential outcomes
(gains or losses). The greater the variation in potential
outcomes, the greater the uncertainty faced by the decision
maker; the smaller the variation in potential outcomes,
the more predictable the decision maker's gains or losses.
The two discrete probability distributions given in the next
table were developed from historical data. They describe
the potential total physical damage losses next year to the
fleets of delivery trucks of two different firms.
Loss Next Year
SO
500
NW
1,000
1,500
2,000
2.500
Firm A
3.000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Firm B
Probability Loss Next Year
01
SO 0
.01
200
.01
700
1,200
1,700
2,200
2,700
3.200
3.700
4,200
4,700
30
.01
01
Probability
85984579985
.30
a.…
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Investors behave in accordance with Markowitz mean-variance portfolio theory.
Investors are rational and risk averse.
Investors all invest for the same period of time.
Investors have heterogeneous expectations about expected returns and return variances for all assets.
There is a risk free rate at which all investors can borrow or lend any amount.
Capital markets are perfectly competitive, frictionless and efficient.
Question Six: Which of the following expressions best describes the slope of the security market line?
The slope of the security market line is equal to the Sharpe ratio.
The slope of the security market line is equal to the Treynor ratio.
The slope of the security market line is equal to alpha.
The slope of the security market line is equal to the market risk premium.
The slope of the security market line is equal to the standard deviation of the risky…
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A Moving to another question will save this response.
Question 14
The market compensates investors for accepting which type(s) of risk?
O None of the listed selections are correct
O market and firm-specific risk
O market risk only
O firm-specific risk only
O diversifiable risk
A Moving to another question will save this response.
MacBoc
esc
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
#
$
2
4
W
E
T
60
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When a firm invests in money market instruments, it is taking _______ and should expect __________.
Question 6 options:
1)
high risk, high returns
2)
high risk, low returns
3)
low risk, low returns
4)
low risk, high returns
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Explain these three
1. PURCHASING POWER RISK - is perhaps, more difficult to recognize than the other types of risk. It is easy to observe the decline in the price of a stock or bond, but it is often more difficult to recognize that the purchasing power of the return you have earned on investment has declined (risen) as a result of inflation (deflation).
2. INTEREST RATE RISK - Because money has time value, fluctuations in interest rates will cause the value of an investment to fluctuate also. Although interest rate risk is most commonly associated with bond price movements, rising interest rates cause bond prices to decline and declining interest rates cause bond prices to rise.
3. BUSINESS RISK - refers to the uncertainty about the rate of a return caused by the nature of the business. The most frequently discussed causes of business risk are uncertainty about the firm's sales and operating expenses.
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