FIN 350 Midterm Harford FALL 2022
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School
University of Washington *
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Course
350
Subject
Finance
Date
Apr 3, 2024
Type
Pages
5
Uploaded by DoctorMoonDonkey41
Assume inflation of 4.2% APR, with monthly compounding
Rates and cash flows are nominal unless stated otherwise.
8:30am Section Answer Key
Page 1 of 5
1.
You expect a nominal cash flow of $10,000 in 3 years. Your real discount rate is 6% APR, compounded
monthly. What is the present value of the nominal cash flow? [5]
You have real rate, but you need a nominal rate, so you need to use the inflation rate to get it. You can do
this entirely in months with 36 months, or convert everything to EARs and do it in years. For the EAR
approach:
Real EAR
ൌ ቀ
1
.06
12
ቁ
ଵଶ
െ
1
ൌ
.06168, Inflation EAR ൌ
ቀ
1
.042
12
ቁ
ଵଶ
െ
1
ൌ
.04282
so nominal EAR
ൌ ሺ
1.06168
ሻሺ
1.04282
ሻ െ
1
ൌ
0.10714 𝑃𝑉 ൌ
10000
ሺ
1.10714
ሻ
ଷ
ൌ
7,368.75
2.
You earn a nominal return of 12% APR, compounded monthly. If you invest $1000 today, how long will it
take to grow to the point where it has a real value of $3000? [4]
Here you have a nominal return and you need a real one. Again, you can do this in years or months. We’ll
do it in months. The monthly inflation rate is 0.042/12 = 0.0035 and the monthly nominal return is
0.12/12 = 0.01, so the monthly real return is 1.01/1.0035 – 1 = 0.006477.
Since any value today is both nominal and real, the $100 you invest today is already a real cash flow. So,
you’re all set because you have a real PV, a real FV and a real rate to solve for n.
𝑛 ൌ
𝑙𝑛 ቀ
𝐹𝑉
𝑃𝑉
ቁ
ln ሺ
1
𝑟ሻ
ൌ
𝑙𝑛 ቀ
3000
1000
ቁ
ln ሺ
1
.006477
ሻ
ൌ
170.17 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑠
3.
You just purchased a $1000 par, 4% coupon bond (semi
‐
annual coupons) with exactly 3 years to maturity.
You paid a price that implied a YTM of 5%. If you sell it for $980 immediately after collecting the next
coupon, what total return did you earn? [4]
If it’s priced at a YTM of 5%, that means its cash flows can all be discounted at that YTM and prodce its
correct price. The cash flows for this bond are $20 every 6 months and $1000 at maturity. Since
everything in the bond world is in 6
‐
month periods, we have a YTM of 2.5% per six months, and six 6
‐
month periods to maturity:
𝑃𝑉 ൌ
20
. 025
1
െ
1
ሺ
1.025
ሻ
൨
1000
ሺ
1.025
ሻ
ൌ
$972.46
If you sell it for $980 after collecting the next $20 coupon, then you bought the bond for $972.46,
collected one $20 semi
‐
annual coupon and sold it for $980. Your total return is (($20+$980)
‐
$972.46)/$972.46 = 2.832% (over a 6
‐
month period).
Did you earn the 5% YTM? Why or why not? [3]
No, you did not earn the YTM—your annualized return is actually 5.664%. You are only guaranteed to
earn the YTM if you hold the bond to maturity and receive all the cash flows as promised. Since you sold
the bond before maturity, your return was determined by how the bond’s price moved in between, and
in this case it increased, so you had a higher return.
Assume inflation of 4.2% APR, with monthly compounding
Rates and cash flows are nominal unless stated otherwise.
8:30am Section Answer Key
Page 2 of 5
4.
Why do credit spreads increase during recessions and economic crises? [5]
Credit spreads reflect the risk of default of a bond. In crises and recessions, investors become less
tolerant of default risk at the same time as the risk of a near
‐
term default increases, so they pay less for
bonds with a significant risk of default. The lower prices for such bonds necessarily implies a higher yield
‐
to
‐
maturity based on those lower prices, and so the credit spread widens.
5.
Assume that, starting in one year, you are able to invest $2,000 per year for 20 years and then increase it
to $4,000 per year for 20 additional years. So, your year 1 through 20 investment will be $2,000 per year
and starting in year 21, you will invest $4,000 per year. Your expected return on your investments is 8%
per year. When you make the last investment 40 years from today, how much can you expect to have in
your investment account? [10]
You need to compute the FV of two separate 20
‐
year annuities. For each, compute the PV and then move
that PV to its FV using the appropriate number of years. Note that for the 1
st
annuity, you will be going
from year 1 to 40, so 40 years for the FV part, and for the second, you will be going from year 21 to 40, so
20 years for the FV part.
𝑃𝑉 ൌ
2000
. 08
1
െ
1
ሺ
1.08
ሻ
ଶ
൨ ൌ
19,636.29
െ െ 𝐹𝑉
ସ
ൌ
19,636.29
ሺ
1.08
ሻ
ସ
ൌ
426,589.11 𝑃𝑉 ൌ
4000
. 08
1
െ
1
ሺ
1.08
ሻ
ଶ
൨ ൌ
39,272.59
െ െ 𝐹𝑉
ସ
ൌ
39,272.59
ሺ
1.08
ሻ
ଶ
ൌ
183,047.86
The total will be 426,589.11 + 183,047.86 = 609,636.97
What will be the real value of your investment account 40 years from today? [4]
Deflate it by 40 years x 12 = 480 months’ worth of inflation at 0.042/12 = 0.0035 per month :
𝟔𝟎𝟗
,
𝟔𝟑𝟔
.
𝟗𝟕
ሺ𝟏
.
𝟎𝟎𝟑𝟓ሻ
𝟒𝟖𝟎
ൌ
𝟏𝟏𝟑
,
𝟗
54.22
Assume inflation of 4.2% APR, with monthly compounding
Rates and cash flows are nominal unless stated otherwise.
8:30am Section Answer Key
Page 3 of 5
Year:
0
1
2
3
IRR
Project C
‐
12
6
6
6
23%
6.
You are evaluating the following projects (in $ millions):
Year:
0
1
2
3
IRR
Project A
‐
30
15
15
15
23%
Project B
‐
18
18
‐
4
14
29%
a.
If your opportunity cost of capital is 10%, what is the NPV of each project? [6]
𝑵𝑷𝑽
𝑨
ൌ െ𝟑𝟎
𝟏𝟓
𝟎
.
𝟏
∗
ቈ𝟏 െ ൬
𝟏
𝟏
.
𝟏
൰
𝟑
ൌ
$
𝟕
.
𝟑𝟎𝑴
𝑵𝑷𝑽
𝑩
ൌ
െ𝟏𝟖
𝟏𝟖
𝟏
.
𝟏
𝟏
െ𝟒
𝟏
.
𝟏
𝟐
𝟏𝟒
𝟏
.
𝟏
𝟑
ൌ
$
𝟓
.
𝟓𝟖𝑴
b.
Given all the information, if you could only do one project, explain how would you rank the two projects? [6]
Project A is the better project if I can do only one because it generates the most value. Project B has a
higher IRR, but that doesn’t translate into more value because it is a smaller scale project.
c.
Right before you commit, you are presented with Project C. If your only constraint is a total budget of $30
million, what would you do and why? [4]
𝑵𝑷𝑽
𝑪
ൌ െ𝟏𝟐
𝟔
𝟎
.
𝟏
∗
𝟏 െ ቀ
𝟏
𝟏
.
𝟏
ቁ
𝟑
൨ ൌ
$
𝟐
.
𝟗𝟐𝑴
. As the question states, my only constraint is a total
budget of $30 million, so since it has a positive NPV, I would consider whether to take it in combination
with B. If I use my total budget of $30 million to take both B and C, I would create total value of $5.58 +
$2.92 = $8.50 million, which is more than I would create using the $30 million to fund project A ($7.30
million), so I would take B and C instead of A. Note this answer is still correct if you still thought A & B are
mutually exclusive because you are not trying to take both A & B.
7.
You can buy a machine for $50,000 due immediately and then two payments of $20,000 (due one year
and two years from now). If your discount rate is 5%, what is the equivalent annual cost of this machine
over its two
‐
year life? [8]
To compute the EAC, first calculate the PV of the actual payments and then calculate the annual payment
with the same PV:
𝑃𝑉 ൌ
50000
20000
1.05
20000
ሺ
1.05
ሻ
ଶ
ൌ
87,188.21 EAC
ൌ
87,188.21
1
.05
െ
1
. 05
ሺ
1.05
ሻ
ଶ
൨
ൌ
46,890.24
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Assume inflation of 4.2% APR, with monthly compounding
Rates and cash flows are nominal unless stated otherwise.
8:30am Section Answer Key
Page 4 of 5
8.
The following yields are on the yield curve:
Maturity
6 months
1 year
1.5 years
2 years
Yield
3%
4%
4.5%
5%
All of the yields are quoted as APRs with semi
‐
annual compounding.
a.
Consider a 1
‐
year zero
‐
coupon $1000 par corporate bond with a credit spread of 150 basis points. What
is its price? [5]
150 basis point credit spread added on to the 4% 1
‐
year rate is 5.5% (APR, semi
‐
annual compounding).
The corresponding 6
‐
month rate is .055/2 = .0275, and there are two 6
‐
month periods in two years.
𝑃𝑉 ൌ
1000
ሺ
1.0275
ሻ
ଶ
ൌ
947.19
b.
Would the YTM of a 1.5
‐
year 5% coupon bond be more than, less than or equal to 4.5%? Why? [5]
It would be less. The YTM will be a weighted average of the relevant spot rates where the weights are
approximately proportional to the size of the cash flows. The cash flows for a 1.5
‐
year 5% coupon bond
will be
6 months
1 year
1.5 year
25
25
1025
So the relevant spot rates are 3%, 4% and 4.5%. The greatest weight will go to 4.5%, so the YTM should
be close to, but less than 4.5% because of the 3 and 4% rates.
c.
Would the YTM of a 1.5
‐
year 4% coupon bond be more than, less than, or equal to the YTM of a 1.5
‐
year
8% coupon bond? Explain. [4]
More than—because the 4% coupon bond’s coupon cash flows are smaller, the YTM calculation will put
less weight on the lower rates, putting proportionately more weight on the par repayment (think of it like
20 vs. 1000 and 40 vs. 1000). Thus, while both YTMs will be close to and a bit less than 4.5%, the 4%
coupon bond’s YTM will be a little closer to 4.5% and thus more.
d.
What is the current yield of a one
‐
year, 3% coupon bond with a price of $990? EXPLAIN whether the
current yield is more than, less than, or equal to its YTM. [4]
Current yield is just the total annual coupon payments divided by the price. So, a 3% coupon bond will
pay a total of $30 over a year. Its current yield is 30/990 = 3.03%, but that will be less than its YTM,
because its YTM will include what happens at maturity (not just the coupons). At maturity, the bond that
you paid $990 for will repay $1000 in par, so you have locked in a small capital gain that is offset by low
income in the meantime. Your YTM will incorporate both and will be more than the return based solely
on the income.
Assume inflation of 4.2% APR, with monthly compounding
Rates and cash flows are nominal unless stated otherwise.
8:30am Section Answer Key
Page 5 of 5
9.
You are considering introducing an upgraded product that has projected revenue of $10 million per year
and expenses of $6 million per year for 3 years, after which you will shut down production. You will be
able to use some of your existing equipment, but will need to purchase additional equipment as well. The
existing equipment is fully depreciated, but its market value is $500,000. The new equipment will cost $2
million, and will be straight
‐
line depreciated over a 5
‐
year life to zero. You plan to sell it for its book value
at the end of the 3
rd
year when you cease production.
Inventory will increase immediately to $1.5 million from its current level of $1 million. It will further
increase to $1.7 million in year 1 and will hold at that level in year 2. It will return to $1 million in year 3.
Your discount rate for this project is 15% and your tax rate is 20%. Forecast the incremental free cash
flows and calculate the NPV of the project. [20]
w/out project
0
1
2
3
WC Level
1
1.5
1.7
1.7
1
WC Change
0.5
0.2
0
‐
0.7
CF from Chg in WC
‐
0.5
‐
0.2
0
0.7
New
Equipment:
0
1
2
3
Depr
‐
0.4
‐
0.4
‐
0.4
BV
2
1.6
1.2
0.8
0
1
2
3
Rev
10
10
10
Exp
‐
6
‐
6
‐
6
Depr
‐
0.4
‐
0.4
‐
0.4
Taxable Inc
3.6
3.6
3.6
Tax
‐
0.72
‐
0.72
‐
0.72
Net Income
2.88
2.88
2.88
Add back Depr
0.4
0.4
0.4
CF fr Chg in WC
‐
0.5
‐
0.2
0
0.7
CapEx
‐
2
0.8
Opp Cost
‐
0.4
FCF
‐
2.9
3.08
3.28
4.78
𝑵𝑷𝑽
ൌ
െ𝟐
.
𝟗
𝟑
.
𝟎𝟖
𝟏
.
𝟏𝟓
𝟏
𝟑
.
𝟐𝟖
𝟏
.
𝟏𝟓
𝟐
𝟒
.
𝟕𝟖
𝟏
.
𝟏𝟓
𝟑
ൌ
$
𝟓
.
𝟒𝟎𝑴
BRIEFLY: Are there any missing considerations you would want to cover before finalizing your analysis? [3]
Since this is a product upgrade, the main question would be one of cannibalization of the sales of the
current model of the product.
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Suppose the nominal interest rate on savings accounts is 11% per year, and both actual and expected inflation are equal to 6%.
Complete the first row of the table by filling in the expected real interest rate and the actual real interest rate before any change in the money supply.
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Expected Inflation
Actual Inflation
Expected Real Interest Rate
Actual Real Interest Rate
(Percent)
(Percent)
(Percent)
(Percent)
(Percent)
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11
6
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Immediately after increase in MS
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1
2
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O $7,100
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4 -1,400
Year
4
6.
7
9.
10
11
What is the IRR of this offer? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your ans
12
a.
13
14
15
16
17
b.
If the appropriate discount rate is 10 percent, should you accept this offer?
18
19
multiple choice 1
20
21
Reject
Ассept
22
23
24
25
C.
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26
27
multiple choice 2
28
29
Аcсept
Reject
30
31
32
33
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34
d-1.
35
d-2.
36
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Present value
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c. 9%
d. 11%
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O B. deblors (pcople or businesses who owe moncy).
OC. both would benefit cgqually
O D. neilher bencfits.
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V =
Enter a value correct to 6 decimal places
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d =
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£
Enter a value correct to 2 decimal places
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a. If the inflation rate over the next few years is expected to be 3.40%, what will the real value of the $100 payoff be in terms of today’s dollars? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
b. What is the real interest rate? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.)
c. Calculate the real payoff from the bond [from part (a)] discounted at the real interest rate [from part (b)]. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
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