A Tale of Two Properties Key Questions

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University of California, Irvine *

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201A

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Finance

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Feb 20, 2024

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A Tale of Two Properties Key Questions 1)Estimate each property's current value by calculating the present discounted value of expected future cash flows given to you in Exhibit 11. To complete your valuation, you will need to make an exit cap and discount rate assumption. For Columbus Festival, assume that the exit cap rate on the property if JC Penney does not renew would be 0.50% higher than if JC Penney does renew. Do not make any adjustments to the assumptions in Exhibit 9. 2)Calculate the maximum amount Cirano can currently borrow for each debt option, making sure to satisfy the LTV and DSCR constraints. For the Brookline property, all lenders agree on cash flow forecasts. For the Columbus Festival property, Oakwood values the property assuming that JC Penney will renew. Northwood values the property based on expected cash flow. 3)Assuming that Cirano will always borrow the maximum amount, calculate the expected IRR and expected equity multiple to Cirano under each refinancing offer. How would these metrics change if Cirano sold the properties immediately? Be sure to include all prepayment, yield maintenance, defeasance, and any other fees in your calculations. For your defeasance calculations, assume that the yield curve is flat at 1.5% up to three years' maturity. You should calculate these metrics both from inception and from the time of the case. 4)Qualitatively evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of each property. Brookline Road Shopping Center: Strengths: Modern Facility: It was built in 2004, which means it's relatively new with fewer maintenance headaches. Prime Location: Situated in an affluent suburb, which is great for business. Solid Performance: ramped up the NOI from $754,000 to $900,000, a testament to good management. Attractive Tenancy: Securing Chipotle for the property's income. No competitor: No grocery store in nearby shopping centers. High median household income Weaknesses: Market Fluctuations: There's a bit of unpredictability in the market, making it hard to decide whether to sell or hold.
Restrictive Loan Terms: The original loan comes with a lockout period and a prepayment penalty, tying my hands a bit. Columbus Festival Plaza: Strengths: NOI Growth: I've grown the NOI nicely since acquisition. Tenant Addition: Scoring CVS Pharmacy is a major plus for the property's prospects. High Visibility: Its location garners a lot of traffic, which is always good for retail. Weaknesses: Older Property: It's been around since '74, which could mean more maintenance costs down the line. Vacancy Challenges: There's some empty space, though I’m optimistic it will fill up. Complex Loan Conditions: The defeasance clause in the loan agreement complicates early repayment. 5)Qualitatively evaluate the strengths and weaknesses associated with each refinancing offer being made to Cirano. Skyline Bank: Lower Interest Rate: They're offering a better rate than before. Full Recourse Loan: There’s a personal financial risk if things go south. Prepayment Restrictions: The lockout provision and prepayment penalty limit my options. Fourth Second Bank: Competitive Interest Rate: They've got the best rate on the table. Flexible Prepayment: After two years, I can prepay without additional costs. Recourse Requirement: Similar to Skyline, I'm personally on the hook if things don't pan out. Regional Liberty Life Insurance Company: Non-Recourse Financing: Less personal risk since the loan doesn't require a personal guarantee. Higher LTV: They’re willing to finance a larger portion of the property's value. Steep Prepayment Penalty: The tiered prepayment penalty is a bit of a deterrent. 6)Make a recommendation to Cirano regarding whether he should sell now or after the additional hold period. If you recommend holding, what financing would you choose? This qualitative assessment should be rigorously supported by your analysis from Questions 1 through 5 and any other facts from the case you deem relevant.
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